MP DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 73.4 8.9% | 134.3 83.0% | 332.0 147.2% | 527.5 58.9% | 253.4 (52.0%) | 191.1 (24.6%) | 323.1 69.1% | 567.8 75.7% | 766.7 35.0% | 727.1 (5.2%) | 698.2 (4.0%) | 678.9 (2.8%) | 668.1 (1.6%) | 665.6 (0.4%) | 670.9 0.8% | 684.3 2.0% |
% margin | (3.3) (4.6%) | 25.2 18.8% | 165.3 49.8% | 327.4 62.1% | 22.3 8.8% | 38.8 20.3% | 65.7 20.3% | 115.4 20.3% | 155.8 20.3% | 147.8 20.3% | 141.9 20.3% | 138.0 20.3% | 135.8 20.3% | 135.3 20.3% | 136.4 20.3% | 139.1 20.3% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (3.3) (4.6%) | 14.0 10.4% | 139.4 42.0% | 277.4 52.6% | 16.4 6.5% | 28.5 14.9% | 48.3 14.9% | 84.8 14.9% | 114.5 14.9% | 108.6 14.9% | 104.3 14.9% | 101.4 14.9% | 99.8 14.9% | 99.4 14.9% | 100.2 14.9% | 102.2 14.9% |
% of revenue | 6.8 9.2% | 9.2 6.8% | 26.8 8.1% | 19.8 3.8% | 56.6 22.3% | 21.8 11.4% | 36.8 11.4% | 64.7 11.4% | 87.3 11.4% | 82.8 11.4% | 79.5 11.4% | 77.3 11.4% | 76.1 11.4% | 75.8 11.4% | 76.4 11.4% | 77.9 11.4% |
% of revenue | (2.3) (3.1%) | (22.4) (16.7%) | (123.9) (37.3%) | (326.6) (61.9%) | (261.9) (103.3%) | (129.0) (67.5%) | (218.2) (67.5%) | (383.4) (67.5%) | (517.7) (67.5%) | (490.9) (67.5%) | (471.5) (67.5%) | (458.4) (67.5%) | (451.1) (67.5%) | (449.4) (67.5%) | (453.0) (67.5%) | (462.1) (67.5%) |
% of revenue | 1.9 2.6% | (37.6) (28.0%) | (34.3) (10.3%) | 4.2 0.8% | (32.2) (12.7%) | (14.2) (7.4%) | (24.0) (7.4%) | (42.1) (7.4%) | (56.9) (7.4%) | (53.9) (7.4%) | (51.8) (7.4%) | (50.3) (7.4%) | (49.5) (7.4%) | (49.4) (7.4%) | (49.8) (7.4%) | (50.8) (7.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 3.1 4.2% | (36.9) (27.5%) | 8.0 2.4% | (25.2) (4.8%) | (221.1) (87.3%) | (92.9) (48.6%) | (157.1) (48.6%) | (276.0) (48.6%) | (372.7) (48.6%) | (353.5) (48.6%) | (339.4) (48.6%) | (330.0) (48.6%) | (324.8) (48.6%) | (323.5) (48.6%) | (326.2) (48.6%) | (332.7) (48.6%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 0.42 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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FAQ
What is MP Materials Corp. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MP Materials Corp.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $22.5, using a WACC of 10.8% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is MP Materials Corp. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MP Materials Corp.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.8%.
What is MP Materials Corp. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, MP Materials Corp.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.