RAIL
FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL)
Last Price$6.52.5%
Market Cap$122.1M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Good

RAIL DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'19 ActualDec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 EstimateDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 Terminal
% growth
230.0
(27.3%)
108.4
(52.8%)
203.1
87.2%
364.8
79.6%
358.1
(1.8%)
573.7
60.2%
589.7
2.8%
610.1
3.5%
638.9
4.7%
705.9
10.5%
769.9
9.1%
828.9
7.7%
880.6
6.2%
923.1
4.8%
954.7
3.4%
973.8
2.0%
(75.6)
(32.9%)
(80.6)
(74.3%)
(16.1)
(7.9%)
0.0
0.0%
10.5
2.9%
(146.7)
(25.6%)
(150.8)
(25.6%)
(156.0)
(25.6%)
(163.4)
(25.6%)
(180.5)
(25.6%)
(196.9)
(25.6%)
(211.9)
(25.6%)
(225.2)
(25.6%)
(236.0)
(25.6%)
(244.1)
(25.6%)
(249.0)
(25.6%)
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(75.5)
(32.8%)
(80.8)
(74.5%)
(16.6)
(8.2%)
0.0
0.0%
11.2
3.1%
(156.7)
(27.3%)
(161.0)
(27.3%)
(166.6)
(27.3%)
(174.5)
(27.3%)
(192.7)
(27.3%)
(210.2)
(27.3%)
(226.3)
(27.3%)
(240.5)
(27.3%)
(252.1)
(27.3%)
(260.7)
(27.3%)
(265.9)
(27.3%)
% of revenue
22.9
10.0%
16.3
15.0%
5.8
2.9%
6.5
1.8%
4.6
1.3%
11.3
2.0%
11.6
2.0%
12.0
2.0%
12.6
2.0%
13.9
2.0%
15.2
2.0%
16.3
2.0%
17.3
2.0%
18.2
2.0%
18.8
2.0%
19.2
2.0%
% of revenue
(5.6)
(2.4%)
(9.8)
(9.1%)
(2.3)
(1.1%)
(7.8)
(2.1%)
(12.7)
(3.6%)
(13.0)
(2.3%)
(13.4)
(2.3%)
(13.9)
(2.3%)
(14.5)
(2.3%)
(16.1)
(2.3%)
(17.5)
(2.3%)
(18.9)
(2.3%)
(20.0)
(2.3%)
(21.0)
(2.3%)
(21.7)
(2.3%)
(22.1)
(2.3%)
12.2
5.3%
(34.2)
(31.5%)
(38.0)
(18.7%)
16.6
4.5%
(12.0)
(3.4%)
(33.5)
(5.8%)
(34.4)
(5.8%)
(35.6)
(5.8%)
(37.3)
(5.8%)
(41.2)
(5.8%)
(45.0)
(5.8%)
(48.4)
(5.8%)
(51.4)
(5.8%)
(53.9)
(5.8%)
(55.7)
(5.8%)
(56.9)
(5.8%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
(45.9)
(20.0%)
(108.5)
(100.1%)
(51.1)
(25.2%)
15.2
4.2%
(8.9)
(2.5%)
(191.9)
(33.4%)
(197.3)
(33.4%)
(204.1)
(33.4%)
(213.7)
(33.4%)
(236.1)
(33.4%)
(257.5)
(33.4%)
(277.3)
(33.4%)
(294.6)
(33.4%)
(308.8)
(33.4%)
(319.3)
(33.4%)
(325.7)
(33.4%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
100.0%
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.88
0.81
0.74
0.68
0.62
0.57
0.53
0.48
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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RAIL DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
73.9M
Shares outstanding
18.8M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

RAIL DCF Financials

Revenue
$358.1M -> $954.7M 10.3% CAGR
Operating Income
$10.5M -> ($244.1M) N/A CAGR
FCFF
($8,908.0K) -> ($319.3M) 43.0% CAGR

RAIL DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is FreightCar America, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $6.5, using a WACC of 9.0% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is FreightCar America, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.0%.

What is FreightCar America, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.