RAIL DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 230.0 (27.3%) | 108.4 (52.8%) | 203.1 87.2% | 364.8 79.6% | 358.1 (1.8%) | 573.7 60.2% | 589.7 2.8% | 610.1 3.5% | 638.9 4.7% | 705.9 10.5% | 769.9 9.1% | 828.9 7.7% | 880.6 6.2% | 923.1 4.8% | 954.7 3.4% | 973.8 2.0% |
% margin | (75.6) (32.9%) | (80.6) (74.3%) | (16.1) (7.9%) | 0.0 0.0% | 10.5 2.9% | (146.7) (25.6%) | (150.8) (25.6%) | (156.0) (25.6%) | (163.4) (25.6%) | (180.5) (25.6%) | (196.9) (25.6%) | (211.9) (25.6%) | (225.2) (25.6%) | (236.0) (25.6%) | (244.1) (25.6%) | (249.0) (25.6%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (75.5) (32.8%) | (80.8) (74.5%) | (16.6) (8.2%) | 0.0 0.0% | 11.2 3.1% | (156.7) (27.3%) | (161.0) (27.3%) | (166.6) (27.3%) | (174.5) (27.3%) | (192.7) (27.3%) | (210.2) (27.3%) | (226.3) (27.3%) | (240.5) (27.3%) | (252.1) (27.3%) | (260.7) (27.3%) | (265.9) (27.3%) |
% of revenue | 22.9 10.0% | 16.3 15.0% | 5.8 2.9% | 6.5 1.8% | 4.6 1.3% | 11.3 2.0% | 11.6 2.0% | 12.0 2.0% | 12.6 2.0% | 13.9 2.0% | 15.2 2.0% | 16.3 2.0% | 17.3 2.0% | 18.2 2.0% | 18.8 2.0% | 19.2 2.0% |
% of revenue | (5.6) (2.4%) | (9.8) (9.1%) | (2.3) (1.1%) | (7.8) (2.1%) | (12.7) (3.6%) | (13.0) (2.3%) | (13.4) (2.3%) | (13.9) (2.3%) | (14.5) (2.3%) | (16.1) (2.3%) | (17.5) (2.3%) | (18.9) (2.3%) | (20.0) (2.3%) | (21.0) (2.3%) | (21.7) (2.3%) | (22.1) (2.3%) |
% of revenue | 12.2 5.3% | (34.2) (31.5%) | (38.0) (18.7%) | 16.6 4.5% | (12.0) (3.4%) | (33.5) (5.8%) | (34.4) (5.8%) | (35.6) (5.8%) | (37.3) (5.8%) | (41.2) (5.8%) | (45.0) (5.8%) | (48.4) (5.8%) | (51.4) (5.8%) | (53.9) (5.8%) | (55.7) (5.8%) | (56.9) (5.8%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (45.9) (20.0%) | (108.5) (100.1%) | (51.1) (25.2%) | 15.2 4.2% | (8.9) (2.5%) | (191.9) (33.4%) | (197.3) (33.4%) | (204.1) (33.4%) | (213.7) (33.4%) | (236.1) (33.4%) | (257.5) (33.4%) | (277.3) (33.4%) | (294.6) (33.4%) | (308.8) (33.4%) | (319.3) (33.4%) | (325.7) (33.4%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.48 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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FAQ
What is FreightCar America, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $6.5, using a WACC of 9.0% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is FreightCar America, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.0%.
What is FreightCar America, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, FreightCar America, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.