RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)
Last Price$153.91.1%
Market Cap$10.2B
DCF value
$24.7
Overvalued (DCF value)
(83.9%)
Discount Rate
7.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Great

RGLD DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Jun'21 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
615.9
23.5%
645.2
4.8%
603.2
(6.5%)
605.7
0.4%
719.4
18.8%
853.5
18.6%
935.3
9.6%
857.9
(8.3%)
825.0
(3.8%)
800.2
(3.0%)
782.8
(2.2%)
772.4
(1.3%)
768.5
(0.5%)
771.0
0.3%
780.0
1.2%
795.6
2.0%
337.6
54.8%
328.4
50.9%
283.7
47.0%
303.2
50.1%
429.9
59.8%
411.5
48.2%
450.9
48.2%
413.6
48.2%
397.7
48.2%
385.8
48.2%
377.4
48.2%
372.4
48.2%
370.5
48.2%
371.7
48.2%
376.1
48.2%
383.6
48.2%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
301.0
48.9%
275.1
42.6%
249.5
41.4%
258.1
42.6%
335.4
46.6%
321.1
37.6%
351.8
37.6%
322.8
37.6%
310.4
37.6%
301.0
37.6%
294.5
37.6%
290.6
37.6%
289.1
37.6%
290.1
37.6%
293.4
37.6%
299.3
37.6%
% of revenue
163.1
26.5%
189.0
29.3%
183.2
30.4%
191.1
31.5%
144.4
20.1%
233.3
27.3%
255.6
27.3%
234.5
27.3%
225.5
27.3%
218.7
27.3%
214.0
27.3%
211.1
27.3%
210.0
27.3%
210.7
27.3%
213.2
27.3%
217.5
27.3%
% of revenue
(168.1)
(27.3%)
(400.4)
(62.1%)
(922.2)
(152.9%)
(2.7)
(0.4%)
(102.6)
(14.3%)
(476.7)
(55.9%)
(522.4)
(55.9%)
(479.2)
(55.9%)
(460.8)
(55.9%)
(447.0)
(55.9%)
(437.3)
(55.9%)
(431.4)
(55.9%)
(429.3)
(55.9%)
(430.7)
(55.9%)
(435.7)
(55.9%)
(444.4)
(55.9%)
(46.4)
(7.5%)
(9.0)
(1.4%)
3.1
0.5%
6.6
1.1%
31.3
4.4%
17.0
2.0%
18.6
2.0%
17.0
2.0%
16.4
2.0%
15.9
2.0%
15.6
2.0%
15.3
2.0%
15.3
2.0%
15.3
2.0%
15.5
2.0%
15.8
2.0%
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
249.4
40.5%
54.7
8.5%
(486.3)
(80.6%)
453.0
74.8%
408.7
56.8%
94.6
11.1%
103.6
11.1%
95.0
11.1%
91.4
11.1%
88.7
11.1%
86.7
11.1%
85.6
11.1%
85.1
11.1%
85.4
11.1%
86.4
11.1%
88.1
11.1%
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.90
0.83
0.78
0.72
0.67
0.62
0.58
0.54
0.50
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
73.7
93.0
79.3
71.0
64.0
58.3
53.5
49.5
46.2
43.5

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RGLD DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
631.9M
43.9%
Terminal Value (TV)
1,602.6M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
806.2M
56.1%
Total Debt
0.0
1,633.6M
Shares outstanding
66.0M
FX rate
1.0
83.9% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

RGLD DCF Financials

Revenue
$719.4M -> $780.0M 0.8% CAGR
Operating Income
$429.9M -> $376.1M (1.3%) CAGR
FCFF
$408.7M -> $86.4M (14.4%) CAGR

RGLD DCF sensitivity

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FAQ

What is Royal Gold, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Royal Gold, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $24.7. This suggests it may be overvalued by (83.9%) compared to its current price of around $153.9, using a WACC of 7.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Royal Gold, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Royal Gold, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.5%.

What is Royal Gold, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Royal Gold, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,438.1M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.