Last Price$128.7(2.6%)
Market Cap$42.2B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
8.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
ROST DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Jan'21 Actual | Jan'22 Actual | Jan'23 Actual | Feb'24 Actual | Feb'25 Actual | Feb'26 Estimate | Feb'27 Estimate | Feb'28 Estimate | Feb'29 Estimate | Feb'30 Estimate | Feb'31 Estimate | Feb'32 Estimate | Feb'33 Estimate | Feb'34 Estimate | Feb'35 Estimate | Feb'36 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 12,531.6 (21.9%) | 18,916.2 50.9% | 18,695.8 (1.2%) | 20,376.9 9.0% | 21,129.2 3.7% | 21,989.6 4.1% | 23,054.9 4.8% | 24,265.5 5.3% | 25,871.3 6.6% | 28,334.0 9.5% | 30,699.7 8.3% | 32,903.7 7.2% | 34,881.0 6.0% | 36,569.2 4.8% | 37,911.2 3.7% | 38,859.0 2.5% |
% margin | 189.7 1.5% | 2,332.9 12.3% | 1,990.3 10.6% | 2,307.7 11.3% | 2,585.6 12.2% | 2,222.7 10.1% | 2,330.4 10.1% | 2,452.8 10.1% | 2,615.1 10.1% | 2,864.0 10.1% | 3,103.2 10.1% | 3,326.0 10.1% | 3,525.8 10.1% | 3,696.5 10.1% | 3,832.1 10.1% | 3,927.9 10.1% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 152.4 1.2% | 1,779.3 9.4% | 1,514.2 8.1% | 1,750.1 8.6% | 1,960.6 9.3% | 1,685.5 7.7% | 1,767.1 7.7% | 1,859.9 7.7% | 1,983.0 7.7% | 2,171.8 7.7% | 2,353.1 7.7% | 2,522.0 7.7% | 2,673.6 7.7% | 2,803.0 7.7% | 2,905.9 7.7% | 2,978.5 7.7% |
% of revenue | 364.2 2.9% | 360.7 1.9% | 394.7 2.1% | 419.4 2.1% | 0.0 0.0% | 305.6 1.4% | 320.4 1.4% | 337.2 1.4% | 359.6 1.4% | 393.8 1.4% | 426.7 1.4% | 457.3 1.4% | 484.8 1.4% | 508.2 1.4% | 526.9 1.4% | 540.0 1.4% |
% of revenue | (405.4) (3.2%) | (557.8) (2.9%) | (654.1) (3.5%) | (762.8) (3.7%) | (720.1) (3.4%) | (780.6) (3.6%) | (818.5) (3.6%) | (861.4) (3.6%) | (918.4) (3.6%) | (1,005.9) (3.6%) | (1,089.8) (3.6%) | (1,168.1) (3.6%) | (1,238.3) (3.6%) | (1,298.2) (3.6%) | (1,345.9) (3.6%) | (1,379.5) (3.6%) |
% of revenue | 1,482.6 11.8% | (494.4) (2.6%) | (418.7) (2.2%) | 95.9 0.5% | 0.0 0.0% | (129.7) (0.6%) | (135.9) (0.6%) | (143.1) (0.6%) | (152.5) (0.6%) | (167.1) (0.6%) | (181.0) (0.6%) | (194.0) (0.6%) | (205.7) (0.6%) | (215.6) (0.6%) | (223.5) (0.6%) | (229.1) (0.6%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 1,593.8 12.7% | 1,087.7 5.8% | 836.1 4.5% | 1,502.5 7.4% | 1,240.5 5.9% | 1,080.8 4.9% | 1,133.2 4.9% | 1,192.7 4.9% | 1,271.6 4.9% | 1,392.6 4.9% | 1,508.9 4.9% | 1,617.2 4.9% | 1,714.4 4.9% | 1,797.4 4.9% | 1,863.3 4.9% | 1,909.9 4.9% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 89.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.46 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 929.8 | 1,003.2 | 973.6 | 957.0 | 966.4 | 965.4 | 954.0 | 932.5 | 901.4 | 861.6 |
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ROST DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
9,444.9M
38.9%
Terminal Value (TV)
32.1B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
14.8B
61.1%
Total Debt
N/A
N/A
Shares outstanding
327.9M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
ROST DCF Financials
Revenue
$21.1B -> $37.9B
6.0% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,585.6M -> $3,832.1M
4.0% CAGR
FCFF
$1,240.5M -> $1,863.3M
4.2% CAGR
ROST DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for ROST
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Peter Lynch charts
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Earnings Power Value
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
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Peter Lynch Fair Value
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Ross Stores, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Ross Stores, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $128.7, using a WACC of 8.5% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Ross Stores, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Ross Stores, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.5%.
What is Ross Stores, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Ross Stores, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $24.3B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.