Last Price$31.1(0.5%)
Market Cap$8,713.0M
DCF value
($6.3)
Overvalued (DCF value)
(120.4%)
Discount Rate
2.1%
Long-Term Growth Rate
4.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
SATS DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,887.9 0.1% | 1,985.7 5.2% | 1,998.1 0.6% | 17,015.6 751.6% | 15,825.5 (7.0%) | 15,332.6 (3.1%) | 15,316.4 (0.1%) | 9,343.0 (39.0%) | 9,086.8 (2.7%) | 8,925.2 (1.8%) | 8,852.4 (0.8%) | 8,865.4 0.1% | 8,963.9 1.1% | 9,149.8 2.1% | 9,427.7 3.0% | 9,804.8 4.0% |
% margin | 112.5 6.0% | 217.0 10.9% | 189.6 9.5% | (277.9) (1.6%) | (304.1) (1.9%) | 3,531.4 23.0% | 3,527.6 23.0% | 2,151.9 23.0% | 2,092.9 23.0% | 2,055.6 23.0% | 2,038.9 23.0% | 2,041.9 23.0% | 2,064.6 23.0% | 2,107.4 23.0% | 2,171.4 23.0% | 2,258.2 23.0% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 209.7 11.1% | 106.0 5.3% | 135.4 6.8% | (235.2) (1.4%) | (107.1) (0.7%) | 1,244.2 8.1% | 1,242.9 8.1% | 758.2 8.1% | 737.4 8.1% | 724.2 8.1% | 718.3 8.1% | 719.4 8.1% | 727.4 8.1% | 742.5 8.1% | 765.0 8.1% | 795.6 8.1% |
% of revenue | 626.3 33.2% | 491.3 24.7% | 1,174.9 58.8% | 1,597.9 9.4% | 1,930.2 12.2% | 4,108.6 26.8% | 4,104.2 26.8% | 2,503.6 26.8% | 2,434.9 26.8% | 2,391.6 26.8% | 2,372.1 26.8% | 2,375.6 26.8% | 2,402.0 26.8% | 2,451.8 26.8% | 2,526.3 26.8% | 2,627.3 26.8% |
% of revenue | (447.5) (23.7%) | (472.0) (23.8%) | (349.0) (17.5%) | (3,100.9) (18.2%) | (1,544.9) (9.8%) | (2,323.0) (15.2%) | (2,320.6) (15.2%) | (1,415.5) (15.2%) | (1,376.7) (15.2%) | (1,352.2) (15.2%) | (1,341.2) (15.2%) | (1,343.2) (15.2%) | (1,358.1) (15.2%) | (1,386.3) (15.2%) | (1,428.4) (15.2%) | (1,485.5) (15.2%) |
% of revenue | 8.2 0.4% | 6.9 0.3% | (78.7) (3.9%) | 150.9 0.9% | 0.0 0.0% | (156.0) (1.0%) | (155.8) (1.0%) | (95.0) (1.0%) | (92.4) (1.0%) | (90.8) (1.0%) | (90.0) (1.0%) | (90.2) (1.0%) | (91.2) (1.0%) | (93.1) (1.0%) | (95.9) (1.0%) | (99.7) (1.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 396.7 21.0% | 132.3 6.7% | 882.6 44.2% | (1,587.3) (9.3%) | 278.2 1.8% | 2,873.8 18.7% | 2,870.7 18.7% | 1,751.1 18.7% | 1,703.1 18.7% | 1,672.8 18.7% | 1,659.2 18.7% | 1,661.6 18.7% | 1,680.1 18.7% | 1,714.9 18.7% | 1,767.0 18.7% | 1,837.7 18.7% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.82 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 2,360.8 | 2,782.1 | 1,661.9 | 1,582.9 | 1,522.6 | 1,478.9 | 1,450.4 | 1,436.2 | 1,435.6 | 1,448.6 |
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SATS DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
17.2B
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
48.8B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
40.0B
70.0%
5,698.3M
Total Debt
64.7B
(1,778.7M)
Shares outstanding
280.4M
FX rate
1.0
(6.3)
120.4% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
SATS DCF Financials
Revenue
$15.8B -> $9,427.7M
(5.0%) CAGR
Operating Income
($304.1M) -> $2,171.4M
N/A CAGR
FCFF
$278.2M -> $1,767.0M
20.3% CAGR
SATS DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
1.0%
$4.0
$4.0
$4.0
$4.0
$4.0
1.5%
($1.0)
($1.0)
($1.0)
($1.0)
($1.0)
2.1%
($6.0)
($6.0)
($6.0)
($6.0)
($6.0)
2.5%
($10.0)
($10.0)
($10.0)
($10.0)
($10.0)
3.0%
($14.0)
($14.0)
($14.0)
($14.0)
($14.0)
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
WACC
1.0%
(87.0%)
(87.0%)
(87.0%)
(87.0%)
(87.0%)
1.5%
(103.0%)
(103.0%)
(103.0%)
(103.0%)
(103.0%)
2.1%
(119.0%)
(119.0%)
(119.0%)
(119.0%)
(119.0%)
2.5%
(132.0%)
(132.0%)
(132.0%)
(132.0%)
(132.0%)
3.0%
(145.0%)
(145.0%)
(145.0%)
(145.0%)
(145.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for SATS
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is EchoStar Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EchoStar Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at ($6.3). This suggests it may be overvalued by (120.4%) compared to its current price of around $31.1, using a WACC of 2.1% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is EchoStar Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EchoStar Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 2.1%.
What is EchoStar Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EchoStar Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $57.2B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.