SGML
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML)
Last Price$11.1(1.8%)
Market Cap$1,237.9M
DCF value
$68.6
Undervalued (DCF value)
517.1%
Discount Rate
10.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

SGML DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'19 ActualDec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 EstimateDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 Terminal
% growth
0.0
(100.0%)
0.0
(100.0%)
0.0
(100.0%)
0.0
(100.0%)
181.2
(18,123,100,100.0%)
233.3
28.8%
366.8
57.2%
693.9
89.2%
1,168.2
68.4%
1,711.2
46.5%
2,379.7
39.1%
3,133.0
31.7%
3,892.5
24.2%
4,547.5
16.8%
4,975.6
9.4%
5,075.2
2.0%
(4.0)
0.0%
(1.6)
0.0%
(31.9)
0.0%
(121.2)
0.0%
(21.6)
(11.9%)
183.3
78.5%
288.1
78.5%
545.0
78.5%
917.6
78.5%
1,344.1
78.5%
1,869.2
78.5%
2,460.9
78.5%
3,057.5
78.5%
3,572.0
78.5%
3,908.3
78.5%
3,986.5
78.5%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(4.4)
N/A
(2.1)
N/A
(32.2)
N/A
(125.9)
N/A
(26.2)
(14.5%)
222.4
95.3%
349.5
95.3%
661.2
95.3%
1,113.1
95.3%
1,630.6
95.3%
2,267.6
95.3%
2,985.4
95.3%
3,709.1
95.3%
4,333.3
95.3%
4,741.2
95.3%
4,836.1
95.3%
% of revenue
0.1
N/A
0.1
N/A
0.1
N/A
0.1
N/A
7.5
4.2%
9.7
4.2%
15.3
4.2%
28.9
4.2%
48.6
4.2%
71.3
4.2%
99.1
4.2%
130.5
4.2%
162.1
4.2%
189.4
4.2%
207.2
4.2%
211.3
4.2%
% of revenue
(3.6)
N/A
(1.4)
N/A
(18.6)
N/A
(127.6)
N/A
(45.8)
(25.3%)
(58.9)
(25.3%)
(92.6)
(25.3%)
(175.3)
(25.3%)
(295.1)
(25.3%)
(432.3)
(25.3%)
(601.2)
(25.3%)
(791.5)
(25.3%)
(983.3)
(25.3%)
(1,148.8)
(25.3%)
(1,256.9)
(25.3%)
(1,282.1)
(25.3%)
1.1
N/A
(1.0)
N/A
1.5
N/A
15.3
N/A
(79.6)
(43.9%)
(102.5)
(43.9%)
(161.1)
(43.9%)
(304.7)
(43.9%)
(513.0)
(43.9%)
(751.5)
(43.9%)
(1,045.1)
(43.9%)
(1,375.9)
(43.9%)
(1,709.4)
(43.9%)
(1,997.1)
(43.9%)
(2,185.1)
(43.9%)
(2,228.8)
(43.9%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
0.0
N/A
0.0
N/A
0.0
N/A
0.0
N/A
(144.1)
(79.5%)
70.6
30.3%
111.0
30.3%
210.1
30.3%
353.7
30.3%
518.1
30.3%
720.5
30.3%
948.6
30.3%
1,178.5
30.3%
1,376.8
30.3%
1,506.4
30.3%
1,536.6
30.3%
% of FCFF used in calculation
100.0%
83.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
Discount factor
0.95
0.86
0.77
0.70
0.63
0.57
0.52
0.47
0.42
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
87.6
180.3
274.0
362.5
455.2
541.1
607.0
640.4
632.7

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SGML DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
3,780.7M
33.9%
Terminal Value (TV)
17.6B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
7,379.1M
66.1%
Total Debt
176.6M
Shares outstanding
111.4M
FX rate
0.7
517.1% undervalued

Equity Value Bridge

SGML DCF Financials

Revenue
CA$181.2M -> CA$4,975.6M 39.3% CAGR
Operating Income
(CA$21.6M) -> CA$3,908.3M N/A CAGR
FCFF
(CA$144.1M) -> CA$1,506.4M N/A CAGR

SGML DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
$71.0
$74.0
$77.0
$80.0
$81.0
10.5%
$66.0
$68.0
$71.0
$74.0
$77.0
10.7%
$64.0
$66.0
$69.0
$71.0
$74.0
11.5%
$58.0
$60.0
$62.0
$64.0
$66.0
12.0%
$54.0
$56.0
$58.0
$60.0
$62.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
539.0%
566.0%
593.0%
620.0%
629.0%
10.5%
494.0%
512.0%
539.0%
566.0%
593.0%
10.7%
476.0%
494.0%
521.0%
539.0%
566.0%
11.5%
422.0%
440.0%
458.0%
476.0%
494.0%
12.0%
386.0%
404.0%
422.0%
440.0%
458.0%

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for SGML

FAQ

What is Sigma Lithium Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Sigma Lithium Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $68.6. This suggests it may be undervalued by 517.1% compared to its current price of around $11.1, using a WACC of 10.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Sigma Lithium Corporation WACC?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Sigma Lithium Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.7%.

What is Sigma Lithium Corporation Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 03, 2025, Sigma Lithium Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately CA$11.2B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.