STX DCF Model
| Jul'20 Actual | Jul'21 Actual | Jul'22 Actual | Jun'23 Actual | Jun'24 Actual | Jun'25 Estimate | Jun'26 Estimate | Jun'27 Estimate | Jun'28 Estimate | Jun'29 Estimate | Jun'30 Estimate | Jun'31 Estimate | Jun'32 Estimate | Jun'33 Estimate | Jun'34 Estimate | Jun'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 10,509.0 1.1% | 10,681.0 1.6% | 11,661.0 9.2% | 7,384.0 (36.7%) | 6,551.0 (11.3%) | 9,050.2 38.2% | 10,266.2 13.4% | 10,421.5 1.5% | 10,165.0 (2.5%) | 10,008.7 (1.5%) | 9,947.1 (0.6%) | 9,977.7 0.3% | 10,100.6 1.2% | 10,318.1 2.2% | 10,635.6 3.1% | 11,061.0 4.0% |
% margin | 1,300.0 12.4% | 1,492.0 14.0% | 1,955.0 16.8% | (342.0) (4.6%) | 452.0 6.9% | 955.8 10.6% | 1,084.3 10.6% | 1,100.7 10.6% | 1,073.6 10.6% | 1,057.1 10.6% | 1,050.6 10.6% | 1,053.8 10.6% | 1,066.8 10.6% | 1,089.7 10.6% | 1,123.3 10.6% | 1,168.2 10.6% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,264.7 12.0% | 1,454.4 13.6% | 1,920.1 16.5% | (364.8) (4.9%) | 340.3 5.2% | 719.6 8.0% | 816.2 8.0% | 828.6 8.0% | 808.2 8.0% | 795.8 8.0% | 790.9 8.0% | 793.3 8.0% | 803.1 8.0% | 820.4 8.0% | 845.6 8.0% | 879.4 8.0% |
% of revenue | 379.0 3.6% | 397.0 3.7% | 451.0 3.9% | 513.0 6.9% | 264.0 4.0% | 447.8 4.9% | 508.0 4.9% | 515.7 4.9% | 503.0 4.9% | 495.3 4.9% | 492.2 4.9% | 493.7 4.9% | 499.8 4.9% | 510.6 4.9% | 526.3 4.9% | 547.3 4.9% |
% of revenue | (585.0) (5.6%) | (498.0) (4.7%) | (381.0) (3.3%) | (316.0) (4.3%) | (254.0) (3.9%) | (344.6) (3.8%) | (390.9) (3.8%) | (396.9) (3.8%) | (387.1) (3.8%) | (381.1) (3.8%) | (378.8) (3.8%) | (380.0) (3.8%) | (384.6) (3.8%) | (392.9) (3.8%) | (405.0) (3.8%) | (421.2) (3.8%) |
% of revenue | 118.0 1.1% | (144.0) (1.3%) | (643.0) (5.5%) | 1,162.0 15.7% | 159.0 2.4% | 381.6 4.2% | 432.9 4.2% | 439.4 4.2% | 428.6 4.2% | 422.0 4.2% | 419.4 4.2% | 420.7 4.2% | 425.9 4.2% | 435.1 4.2% | 448.5 4.2% | 466.4 4.2% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 1,176.7 11.2% | 1,209.4 11.3% | 1,347.1 11.6% | 994.2 13.5% | 509.3 7.8% | 1,204.4 13.3% | 1,366.2 13.3% | 1,386.8 13.3% | 1,352.7 13.3% | 1,331.9 13.3% | 1,323.7 13.3% | 1,327.8 13.3% | 1,344.1 13.3% | 1,373.1 13.3% | 1,415.3 13.3% | 1,472.0 13.3% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 32.1% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.45 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 370.4 | 1,206.4 | 1,127.1 | 1,011.9 | 917.0 | 838.8 | 774.4 | 721.6 | 678.4 | 643.6 |
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FAQ
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $83.1. This suggests it may be overvalued by (16.9%) compared to its current price of around $100.1, using a WACC of 8.6% and growth rates of 4.0%.
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.6%.
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Seagate Technology Holdings plc's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $22.7B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.