Last Price$55.4(0.7%)
Market Cap$3,827.2M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
31.4%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
TNL DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 2,160.0 (46.6%) | 3,134.0 45.1% | 3,567.0 13.8% | 3,750.0 5.1% | 3,864.0 3.0% | 4,031.0 4.3% | 4,232.4 5.0% | 4,432.1 4.7% | 4,628.9 4.4% | 4,821.7 4.2% | 5,009.1 3.9% | 5,189.8 3.6% | 5,362.7 3.3% | 5,526.6 3.1% | 5,680.0 2.8% | 5,822.0 2.5% |
% margin | 95.0 4.4% | 618.0 19.7% | 653.0 18.3% | 720.0 19.2% | 733.0 19.0% | (1,840.9) (45.7%) | (1,932.8) (45.7%) | (2,024.0) (45.7%) | (2,113.9) (45.7%) | (2,201.9) (45.7%) | (2,287.5) (45.7%) | (2,370.1) (45.7%) | (2,449.0) (45.7%) | (2,523.8) (45.7%) | (2,593.9) (45.7%) | (2,658.8) (45.7%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 87.1 4.0% | 450.9 14.4% | 478.3 13.4% | 580.5 15.5% | 540.1 14.0% | (1,356.4) (33.6%) | (1,424.2) (33.6%) | (1,491.4) (33.6%) | (1,557.6) (33.6%) | (1,622.5) (33.6%) | (1,685.5) (33.6%) | (1,746.4) (33.6%) | (1,804.5) (33.6%) | (1,859.7) (33.6%) | (1,911.3) (33.6%) | (1,959.1) (33.6%) |
% of revenue | 1,980.0 91.7% | 2,358.0 75.2% | 2,808.0 78.7% | 112.0 3.0% | 115.0 3.0% | 1,137.9 28.2% | 1,194.7 28.2% | 1,251.1 28.2% | 1,306.7 28.2% | 1,361.1 28.2% | 1,414.0 28.2% | 1,465.0 28.2% | 1,513.8 28.2% | 1,560.0 28.2% | 1,603.4 28.2% | 1,643.5 28.2% |
% of revenue | (69.0) (3.2%) | (57.0) (1.8%) | (52.0) (1.5%) | (74.0) (2.0%) | (81.0) (2.1%) | (74.3) (1.8%) | (78.0) (1.8%) | (81.7) (1.8%) | (85.3) (1.8%) | (88.8) (1.8%) | (92.3) (1.8%) | (95.6) (1.8%) | (98.8) (1.8%) | (101.8) (1.8%) | (104.7) (1.8%) | (107.3) (1.8%) |
% of revenue | 65.0 3.0% | (26.0) (0.8%) | (429.0) (12.0%) | (584.0) (15.6%) | 0.0 0.0% | (370.9) (9.2%) | (389.4) (9.2%) | (407.8) (9.2%) | (425.9) (9.2%) | (443.6) (9.2%) | (460.8) (9.2%) | (477.5) (9.2%) | (493.4) (9.2%) | (508.4) (9.2%) | (522.6) (9.2%) | (535.6) (9.2%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 2,063.1 95.5% | 2,725.9 87.0% | 2,805.3 78.6% | 34.5 0.9% | 574.1 14.9% | (663.7) (16.5%) | (696.8) (16.5%) | (729.7) (16.5%) | (762.1) (16.5%) | (793.8) (16.5%) | (824.7) (16.5%) | (854.5) (16.5%) | (882.9) (16.5%) | (909.9) (16.5%) | (935.2) (16.5%) | (958.5) (16.5%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.87 | 0.66 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.07 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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TNL DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
100.0M
N/A
Shares outstanding
69.0M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
TNL DCF Financials
Revenue
$3,864.0M -> $5,680.0M
3.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$733.0M -> ($2,593.9M)
N/A CAGR
FCFF
$574.1M -> ($935.2M)
N/A CAGR
TNL DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
30.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
30.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
31.4%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
31.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
32.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
30.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
30.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
31.4%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
31.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
32.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is Travel + Leisure Co. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $55.4, using a WACC of 31.4% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Travel + Leisure Co. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 31.4%.
What is Travel + Leisure Co. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Travel + Leisure Co.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.