TPB DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 362.0 8.8% | 405.1 11.9% | 445.5 10.0% | 415.0 (6.8%) | 405.4 (2.3%) | 413.5 2.0% | 422.8 2.3% | 446.1 5.5% | 468.7 5.1% | 490.5 4.6% | 511.0 4.2% | 530.2 3.8% | 547.8 3.3% | 563.6 2.9% | 577.3 2.4% | 588.9 2.0% |
% margin | 26.9 7.4% | 64.1 15.8% | 90.3 20.3% | 75.5 18.2% | 82.6 20.4% | 58.7 14.2% | 60.1 14.2% | 63.4 14.2% | 66.6 14.2% | 69.7 14.2% | 72.6 14.2% | 75.3 14.2% | 77.8 14.2% | 80.1 14.2% | 82.0 14.2% | 83.7 14.2% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 23.4 6.5% | 49.2 12.1% | 70.9 15.9% | 52.6 12.7% | 50.6 12.5% | 36.0 8.7% | 36.8 8.7% | 38.8 8.7% | 40.8 8.7% | 42.7 8.7% | 44.5 8.7% | 46.1 8.7% | 47.7 8.7% | 49.0 8.7% | 50.2 8.7% | 51.2 8.7% |
% of revenue | 4.4 1.2% | 5.4 1.3% | 4.8 1.1% | 5.3 1.3% | 6.4 1.6% | 5.4 1.3% | 5.5 1.3% | 5.8 1.3% | 6.1 1.3% | 6.4 1.3% | 6.7 1.3% | 6.9 1.3% | 7.2 1.3% | 7.4 1.3% | 7.6 1.3% | 7.7 1.3% |
% of revenue | (4.8) (1.3%) | (6.1) (1.5%) | (6.2) (1.4%) | (7.7) (1.9%) | (5.7) (1.4%) | (6.4) (1.5%) | (6.5) (1.5%) | (6.9) (1.5%) | (7.3) (1.5%) | (7.6) (1.5%) | (7.9) (1.5%) | (8.2) (1.5%) | (8.5) (1.5%) | (8.7) (1.5%) | (8.9) (1.5%) | (9.1) (1.5%) |
% of revenue | 21.1 5.8% | (10.5) (2.6%) | (1.1) (0.3%) | (26.5) (6.4%) | 11.4 2.8% | (5.3) (1.3%) | (5.4) (1.3%) | (5.7) (1.3%) | (6.0) (1.3%) | (6.3) (1.3%) | (6.5) (1.3%) | (6.8) (1.3%) | (7.0) (1.3%) | (7.2) (1.3%) | (7.4) (1.3%) | (7.5) (1.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 44.1 12.2% | 37.9 9.4% | 68.5 15.4% | 23.7 5.7% | 62.6 15.4% | 29.7 7.2% | 30.4 7.2% | 32.0 7.2% | 33.7 7.2% | 35.2 7.2% | 36.7 7.2% | 38.1 7.2% | 39.3 7.2% | 40.5 7.2% | 41.5 7.2% | 42.3 7.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.59 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 24.4 | 29.2 | 28.9 | 28.4 | 27.9 | 27.2 | 26.5 | 25.6 | 24.7 |
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FAQ
What is Turning Point Brands, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $30.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by (56.4%) compared to its current price of around $70.3, using a WACC of 6.3% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Turning Point Brands, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 6.3%.
What is Turning Point Brands, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $809.5M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.