VGR DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,119.6 (40.1%) | 1,228.7 9.7% | 1,220.7 (0.6%) | 1,441.0 18.0% | 1,424.3 (1.2%) | 1,429.9 0.4% | 1,434.4 0.3% | 1,720.2 19.9% | 2,024.4 17.7% | 2,337.0 15.4% | 2,645.5 13.2% | 2,935.6 11.0% | 3,191.6 8.7% | 3,398.4 6.5% | 3,542.5 4.2% | 3,613.4 2.0% |
% margin | 234.6 21.0% | 294.4 24.0% | 320.4 26.3% | 339.0 23.5% | 336.6 23.6% | 326.0 22.8% | 327.1 22.8% | 392.2 22.8% | 461.6 22.8% | 532.9 22.8% | 603.2 22.8% | 669.3 22.8% | 727.7 22.8% | 774.9 22.8% | 807.8 22.8% | 823.9 22.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 176.3 15.7% | 206.4 16.8% | 224.6 18.4% | 243.9 16.9% | 248.7 17.5% | 240.8 16.8% | 241.6 16.8% | 289.7 16.8% | 341.0 16.8% | 393.6 16.8% | 445.6 16.8% | 494.4 16.8% | 537.6 16.8% | 572.4 16.8% | 596.7 16.8% | 608.6 16.8% |
% of revenue | 45.5 4.1% | 38.1 3.1% | 38.3 3.1% | 10.6 0.7% | 10.4 0.7% | 21.9 1.5% | 22.0 1.5% | 26.4 1.5% | 31.0 1.5% | 35.8 1.5% | 40.5 1.5% | 45.0 1.5% | 48.9 1.5% | 52.1 1.5% | 54.3 1.5% | 55.4 1.5% |
% of revenue | (12.6) (1.1%) | (19.1) (1.6%) | (13.5) (1.1%) | (10.0) (0.7%) | (10.6) (0.7%) | (12.1) (0.8%) | (12.1) (0.8%) | (14.6) (0.8%) | (17.1) (0.8%) | (19.8) (0.8%) | (22.4) (0.8%) | (24.8) (0.8%) | (27.0) (0.8%) | (28.8) (0.8%) | (30.0) (0.8%) | (30.6) (0.8%) |
% of revenue | (41.6) (3.7%) | 8.5 0.7% | (50.9) (4.2%) | (37.5) (2.6%) | (0.9) (0.1%) | (32.6) (2.3%) | (32.7) (2.3%) | (39.2) (2.3%) | (46.1) (2.3%) | (53.3) (2.3%) | (60.3) (2.3%) | (66.9) (2.3%) | (72.8) (2.3%) | (77.5) (2.3%) | (80.8) (2.3%) | (82.4) (2.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 167.6 15.0% | 233.9 19.0% | 198.4 16.3% | 207.1 14.4% | 247.5 17.4% | 218.1 15.2% | 218.7 15.2% | 262.3 15.2% | 308.7 15.2% | 356.4 15.2% | 403.4 15.2% | 447.7 15.2% | 486.7 15.2% | 518.2 15.2% | 540.2 15.2% | 551.0 15.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 23.3% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.58 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 49.3 | 200.7 | 227.2 | 252.5 | 275.2 | 294.1 | 308.2 | 316.3 | 318.0 | 313.0 |
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FAQ
What is Vector Group Ltd. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Oct 07, 2024, Vector Group Ltd.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $48.8. This suggests it may be undervalued by 225.8% compared to its current price of around $15.0, using a WACC of 5.9% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Vector Group Ltd. WACC?
As of Oct 07, 2024, Vector Group Ltd.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 5.9%.
What is Vector Group Ltd. Enterprise Value?
As of Oct 07, 2024, Vector Group Ltd.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $8,515.1M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.