Last Price$141.01.5%
Market Cap$89.5B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.2%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
ABNB DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 3,378.2 (29.7%) | 5,992.0 77.4% | 8,399.0 40.2% | 9,917.0 18.1% | 11,102.0 11.9% | 12,208.2 10.0% | 13,461.8 10.3% | 14,988.6 11.3% | 16,668.9 11.2% | 18,330.2 10.0% | 19,928.9 8.7% | 21,419.1 7.5% | 22,754.2 6.2% | 23,889.3 5.0% | 24,783.8 3.7% | 25,403.4 2.5% |
% margin | (3,590.1) (106.3%) | 429.0 7.2% | 1,802.0 21.5% | 1,518.0 15.3% | 2,553.0 23.0% | (1,620.4) (13.3%) | (1,786.7) (13.3%) | (1,989.4) (13.3%) | (2,212.4) (13.3%) | (2,432.9) (13.3%) | (2,645.1) (13.3%) | (2,842.9) (13.3%) | (3,020.1) (13.3%) | (3,170.7) (13.3%) | (3,289.5) (13.3%) | (3,371.7) (13.3%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (3,515.6) (104.1%) | 503.4 8.4% | 1,715.0 20.4% | 3,460.6 34.9% | 2,029.5 18.3% | (1,288.1) (10.6%) | (1,420.4) (10.6%) | (1,581.5) (10.6%) | (1,758.8) (10.6%) | (1,934.1) (10.6%) | (2,102.7) (10.6%) | (2,260.0) (10.6%) | (2,400.8) (10.6%) | (2,520.6) (10.6%) | (2,615.0) (10.6%) | (2,680.4) (10.6%) |
% of revenue | 125.9 3.7% | 175.5 2.9% | 89.3 1.1% | 44.0 0.4% | 0.0 0.0% | 61.3 0.5% | 67.6 0.5% | 75.3 0.5% | 83.7 0.5% | 92.1 0.5% | 100.1 0.5% | 107.6 0.5% | 114.3 0.5% | 120.0 0.5% | 124.5 0.5% | 127.6 0.5% |
% of revenue | (37.4) (1.1%) | (25.3) (0.4%) | (25.0) (0.3%) | 0.0 0.0% | 0.0 0.0% | (12.1) (0.1%) | (13.4) (0.1%) | (14.9) (0.1%) | (16.5) (0.1%) | (18.2) (0.1%) | (19.8) (0.1%) | (21.3) (0.1%) | (22.6) (0.1%) | (23.7) (0.1%) | (24.6) (0.1%) | (25.2) (0.1%) |
% of revenue | (284.6) (8.4%) | 637.9 10.6% | 319.0 3.8% | 720.0 7.3% | (67.0) (0.6%) | 425.5 3.5% | 469.1 3.5% | 522.3 3.5% | 580.9 3.5% | 638.8 3.5% | 694.5 3.5% | 746.4 3.5% | 793.0 3.5% | 832.5 3.5% | 863.7 3.5% | 885.3 3.5% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (3,711.7) (109.9%) | 1,291.5 21.6% | 2,098.3 25.0% | 4,224.6 42.6% | 1,962.5 17.7% | (813.5) (6.7%) | (897.0) (6.7%) | (998.7) (6.7%) | (1,110.7) (6.7%) | (1,221.4) (6.7%) | (1,327.9) (6.7%) | (1,427.2) (6.7%) | (1,516.1) (6.7%) | (1,591.8) (6.7%) | (1,651.4) (6.7%) | (1,692.7) (6.7%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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ABNB DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
2,294.0M
N/A
Shares outstanding
634.8M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
ABNB DCF Financials
Revenue
$11.1B -> $24.8B
8.4% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,553.0M -> ($3,289.5M)
N/A CAGR
FCFF
$1,962.5M -> ($1,651.4M)
N/A CAGR
ABNB DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.2%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.2%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is Airbnb, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Airbnb, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $141.0, using a WACC of 9.2% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Airbnb, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Airbnb, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.2%.
What is Airbnb, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Airbnb, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.