ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL)
Last Price$9.9(0.6%)
Market Cap$833.7M
DCF value
$8.6
Overvalued (DCF value)
(13.3%)
Discount Rate
11.3%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

ACEL DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
316.4
(25.5%)
734.7
132.2%
969.8
32.0%
1,170.4
20.7%
1,231.0
5.2%
1,306.6
6.1%
1,362.6
4.3%
1,411.0
3.6%
1,459.2
3.4%
1,507.2
3.3%
1,554.8
3.2%
1,601.8
3.0%
1,648.2
2.9%
1,693.7
2.8%
1,738.3
2.6%
1,781.7
2.5%
(24.7)
(7.8%)
70.2
9.6%
96.9
10.0%
107.4
9.2%
90.9
7.4%
90.6
6.9%
94.4
6.9%
97.8
6.9%
101.1
6.9%
104.5
6.9%
107.7
6.9%
111.0
6.9%
114.2
6.9%
117.4
6.9%
120.5
6.9%
123.5
6.9%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(10.7)
(3.4%)
47.6
6.5%
75.7
7.8%
74.5
6.4%
59.7
4.8%
59.5
4.6%
62.0
4.6%
64.2
4.6%
66.4
4.6%
68.6
4.6%
70.8
4.6%
72.9
4.6%
75.0
4.6%
77.1
4.6%
79.1
4.6%
81.1
4.6%
% of revenue
43.6
13.8%
46.7
6.4%
46.8
4.8%
59.1
5.1%
44.0
3.6%
58.6
4.5%
61.1
4.5%
63.2
4.5%
65.4
4.5%
67.6
4.5%
69.7
4.5%
71.8
4.5%
73.9
4.5%
75.9
4.5%
77.9
4.5%
79.9
4.5%
% of revenue
(25.8)
(8.1%)
(29.8)
(4.0%)
(47.4)
(4.9%)
(81.7)
(7.0%)
(66.5)
(5.4%)
(75.2)
(5.8%)
(78.5)
(5.8%)
(81.2)
(5.8%)
(84.0)
(5.8%)
(86.8)
(5.8%)
(89.5)
(5.8%)
(92.2)
(5.8%)
(94.9)
(5.8%)
(97.5)
(5.8%)
(100.1)
(5.8%)
(102.6)
(5.8%)
(17.2)
(5.4%)
2.1
0.3%
(11.2)
(1.2%)
3.6
0.3%
(1.5)
(0.1%)
(4.2)
(0.3%)
(4.4)
(0.3%)
(4.6)
(0.3%)
(4.7)
(0.3%)
(4.9)
(0.3%)
(5.0)
(0.3%)
(5.2)
(0.3%)
(5.3)
(0.3%)
(5.5)
(0.3%)
(5.6)
(0.3%)
(5.7)
(0.3%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
(10.1)
(3.2%)
66.6
9.1%
63.9
6.6%
55.5
4.7%
35.7
2.9%
38.6
3.0%
40.2
3.0%
41.7
3.0%
43.1
3.0%
44.5
3.0%
45.9
3.0%
47.3
3.0%
48.7
3.0%
50.0
3.0%
51.3
3.0%
52.6
3.0%
% of FCFF used in calculation
80.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.95
0.85
0.76
0.69
0.62
0.55
0.50
0.45
0.40
0.36
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)
29.6
34.2
31.9
29.6
27.4
25.4
23.5
21.7
20.1
18.5

Best stock ideas on the market right now

With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.

ACEL DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
261.9M
55.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
594.9M
Discounted TV
% share of EV
214.3M
45.0%
Total Debt
34.4M
Shares outstanding
83.9M
FX rate
1.0
13.3% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

ACEL DCF Financials

Revenue
$1,231.0M -> $1,738.3M 3.5% CAGR
Operating Income
$90.9M -> $120.5M 2.9% CAGR
FCFF
$35.7M -> $51.3M 3.7% CAGR

ACEL DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
10.0%
$9.0
$9.0
$10.0
$10.0
$10.0
10.5%
$9.0
$9.0
$9.0
$9.0
$10.0
11.3%
$8.0
$8.0
$9.0
$9.0
$9.0
11.5%
$8.0
$8.0
$9.0
$9.0
$9.0
12.0%
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$9.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
10.0%
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
10.5%
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
1.0%
11.3%
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
11.5%
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
(9.0%)
12.0%
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(20.0%)
(9.0%)

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for ACEL

FAQ

What is Accel Entertainment, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $8.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by (13.3%) compared to its current price of around $9.9, using a WACC of 11.3% and growth rates of 2.5%.

What is Accel Entertainment, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 11.3%.

What is Accel Entertainment, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $476.3M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.