EME DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 9,174.6 12.8% | 8,797.1 (4.1%) | 9,903.6 12.6% | 11,076.1 11.8% | 12,582.9 13.6% | 14,602.9 16.1% | 15,664.4 7.3% | 16,610.0 6.0% | 17,528.9 5.5% | 18,410.2 5.0% | 19,242.8 4.5% | 20,016.1 4.0% | 20,719.4 3.5% | 21,342.8 3.0% | 21,877.4 2.5% | 22,314.9 2.0% |
% margin | 460.9 5.0% | 494.8 5.6% | 530.8 5.4% | 564.9 5.1% | 875.8 7.0% | 827.4 5.7% | 887.6 5.7% | 941.2 5.7% | 993.2 5.7% | 1,043.2 5.7% | 1,090.4 5.7% | 1,134.2 5.7% | 1,174.0 5.7% | 1,209.4 5.7% | 1,239.6 5.7% | 1,264.4 5.7% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 332.4 3.6% | 260.7 3.0% | 384.8 3.9% | 410.6 3.7% | 635.4 5.1% | 600.4 4.1% | 644.0 4.1% | 682.9 4.1% | 720.7 4.1% | 756.9 4.1% | 791.1 4.1% | 822.9 4.1% | 851.9 4.1% | 877.5 4.1% | 899.5 4.1% | 917.5 4.1% |
% of revenue | 92.1 1.0% | 106.7 1.2% | 112.4 1.1% | 108.6 1.0% | 119.0 0.9% | 149.0 1.0% | 159.8 1.0% | 169.5 1.0% | 178.9 1.0% | 187.9 1.0% | 196.4 1.0% | 204.3 1.0% | 211.4 1.0% | 217.8 1.0% | 223.2 1.0% | 227.7 1.0% |
% of revenue | (48.4) (0.5%) | (48.0) (0.5%) | (36.2) (0.4%) | (49.3) (0.4%) | (78.4) (0.6%) | (69.8) (0.5%) | (74.9) (0.5%) | (79.4) (0.5%) | (83.8) (0.5%) | (88.0) (0.5%) | (92.0) (0.5%) | (95.6) (0.5%) | (99.0) (0.5%) | (102.0) (0.5%) | (104.5) (0.5%) | (106.6) (0.5%) |
% of revenue | (78.9) (0.9%) | 354.6 4.0% | (208.4) (2.1%) | (39.1) (0.4%) | 141.9 1.1% | (64.7) (0.4%) | (69.4) (0.4%) | (73.6) (0.4%) | (77.7) (0.4%) | (81.6) (0.4%) | (85.3) (0.4%) | (88.7) (0.4%) | (91.8) (0.4%) | (94.6) (0.4%) | (97.0) (0.4%) | (98.9) (0.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 297.1 3.2% | 674.0 7.7% | 252.7 2.6% | 430.8 3.9% | 817.8 6.5% | 614.9 4.2% | 659.6 4.2% | 699.4 4.2% | 738.1 4.2% | 775.2 4.2% | 810.3 4.2% | 842.8 4.2% | 872.5 4.2% | 898.7 4.2% | 921.2 4.2% | 939.6 4.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.49 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 525.2 | 617.3 | 599.4 | 579.3 | 557.1 | 533.2 | 507.8 | 481.3 | 454.0 |
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FAQ
What is EMCOR Group, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EMCOR Group, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $259.2. This suggests it may be overvalued by (34.5%) compared to its current price of around $395.7, using a WACC of 8.7% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is EMCOR Group, Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EMCOR Group, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.7%.
What is EMCOR Group, Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, EMCOR Group, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $11.8B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.