Last Price$20.63.7%
Market Cap$18.5B
DCF value
$7.6
Overvalued (DCF value)
(63.1%)
Discount Rate
10.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
7/10
Good
GFI DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 3,892.1 31.2% | 4,195.2 7.8% | 4,286.7 2.2% | 4,500.7 5.0% | 5,201.6 15.6% | 6,744.6 29.7% | 7,017.3 4.0% | 7,154.2 2.0% | 7,400.5 3.4% | 7,640.0 3.2% | 7,871.6 3.0% | 8,093.9 2.8% | 8,305.8 2.6% | 8,506.2 2.4% | 8,693.9 2.2% | 8,867.7 2.0% |
% margin | 1,461.3 37.5% | 1,549.1 36.9% | 1,402.1 32.7% | 1,421.8 31.6% | 2,720.3 52.3% | 2,320.0 34.4% | 2,413.8 34.4% | 2,460.9 34.4% | 2,545.6 34.4% | 2,628.0 34.4% | 2,707.7 34.4% | 2,784.1 34.4% | 2,857.0 34.4% | 2,926.0 34.4% | 2,990.5 34.4% | 3,050.3 34.4% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 924.7 23.8% | 1,036.4 24.7% | 863.5 20.1% | 875.4 19.5% | 1,766.2 34.0% | 1,506.3 22.3% | 1,567.2 22.3% | 1,597.8 22.3% | 1,652.8 22.3% | 1,706.3 22.3% | 1,758.0 22.3% | 1,807.7 22.3% | 1,855.0 22.3% | 1,899.8 22.3% | 1,941.7 22.3% | 1,980.5 22.3% |
% of revenue | 688.0 17.7% | 744.5 17.7% | 771.7 18.0% | 795.3 17.7% | 627.4 12.1% | 1,073.2 15.9% | 1,116.6 15.9% | 1,138.3 15.9% | 1,177.5 15.9% | 1,215.6 15.9% | 1,252.5 15.9% | 1,287.9 15.9% | 1,321.6 15.9% | 1,353.5 15.9% | 1,383.3 15.9% | 1,411.0 15.9% |
% of revenue | (583.7) (15.0%) | (1,088.7) (26.0%) | (1,069.3) (24.9%) | (1,123.8) (25.0%) | (1,248.7) (24.0%) | (1,661.9) (24.6%) | (1,729.1) (24.6%) | (1,762.8) (24.6%) | (1,823.5) (24.6%) | (1,882.5) (24.6%) | (1,939.6) (24.6%) | (1,994.3) (24.6%) | (2,046.6) (24.6%) | (2,095.9) (24.6%) | (2,142.2) (24.6%) | (2,185.0) (24.6%) |
% of revenue | (177.9) (4.6%) | (84.4) (2.0%) | (156.6) (3.7%) | (214.5) (4.8%) | (81.5) (1.6%) | (224.5) (3.3%) | (233.6) (3.3%) | (238.1) (3.3%) | (246.3) (3.3%) | (254.3) (3.3%) | (262.0) (3.3%) | (269.4) (3.3%) | (276.5) (3.3%) | (283.1) (3.3%) | (289.4) (3.3%) | (295.2) (3.3%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 851.1 21.9% | 607.8 14.5% | 409.3 9.5% | 332.4 7.4% | 1,063.4 20.4% | 693.1 10.3% | 721.1 10.3% | 735.2 10.3% | 760.5 10.3% | 785.1 10.3% | 808.9 10.3% | 831.8 10.3% | 853.6 10.3% | 874.1 10.3% | 893.4 10.3% | 911.3 10.3% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.39 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 532.8 | 620.4 | 572.2 | 535.4 | 500.0 | 466.0 | 433.4 | 402.3 | 372.7 | 344.6 |
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GFI DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
4,779.6M
53.8%
Terminal Value (TV)
10.7B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
4,110.6M
46.2%
8,890.2M
Total Debt
2,945.8M
6,804.6M
Shares outstanding
898.0M
FX rate
1.0
7.6
63.1% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
GFI DCF Financials
Revenue
$5,201.6M -> $8,693.9M
5.3% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,720.3M -> $2,990.5M
1.0% CAGR
FCFF
$1,063.4M -> $893.4M
(1.7%) CAGR
GFI DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
$9.0
$9.0
10.5%
$7.0
$7.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
10.5%
$7.0
$7.0
$8.0
$8.0
$8.0
11.5%
$6.0
$6.0
$7.0
$7.0
$7.0
12.0%
$6.0
$6.0
$6.0
$6.0
$7.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
10.0%
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
(56.0%)
(56.0%)
10.5%
(66.0%)
(66.0%)
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
10.5%
(66.0%)
(66.0%)
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
(61.0%)
11.5%
(71.0%)
(71.0%)
(66.0%)
(66.0%)
(66.0%)
12.0%
(71.0%)
(71.0%)
(71.0%)
(71.0%)
(66.0%)
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FAQ
What is Gold Fields Limited DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Gold Fields Limited's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $7.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by (63.1%) compared to its current price of around $20.6, using a WACC of 10.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Gold Fields Limited WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Gold Fields Limited's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.5%.
What is Gold Fields Limited Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Gold Fields Limited's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $8,890.2M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.