GHG DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,091.8 15.5% | 930.0 (14.8%) | 1,206.1 29.7% | 945.1 (21.6%) | 1,627.3 72.2% | 1,455.2 (10.6%) | 1,601.7 10.1% | 1,733.5 8.2% | 1,863.7 7.5% | 1,990.4 6.8% | 2,111.4 6.1% | 2,224.7 5.4% | 2,328.1 4.6% | 2,419.6 3.9% | 2,497.4 3.2% | 2,559.9 2.5% |
% margin | 504.6 46.2% | 319.3 34.3% | 241.7 20.0% | (437.7) (46.3%) | 335.6 20.6% | 210.1 14.4% | 231.3 14.4% | 250.3 14.4% | 269.1 14.4% | 287.4 14.4% | 304.8 14.4% | 321.2 14.4% | 336.1 14.4% | 349.3 14.4% | 360.6 14.4% | 369.6 14.4% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 351.8 32.2% | 219.7 23.6% | 160.3 13.3% | (393.3) (41.6%) | 230.7 14.2% | 144.4 9.9% | 159.0 9.9% | 172.1 9.9% | 185.0 9.9% | 197.6 9.9% | 209.6 9.9% | 220.8 9.9% | 231.1 9.9% | 240.2 9.9% | 247.9 9.9% | 254.1 9.9% |
% of revenue | 40.4 3.7% | 65.9 7.1% | 119.3 9.9% | 125.3 13.3% | 116.9 7.2% | 147.2 10.1% | 162.0 10.1% | 175.3 10.1% | 188.5 10.1% | 201.3 10.1% | 213.5 10.1% | 225.0 10.1% | 235.4 10.1% | 244.7 10.1% | 252.6 10.1% | 258.9 10.1% |
% of revenue | (100.2) (9.2%) | (112.8) (12.1%) | (561.3) (46.5%) | (69.1) (7.3%) | (88.5) (5.4%) | (287.6) (19.8%) | (316.5) (19.8%) | (342.6) (19.8%) | (368.3) (19.8%) | (393.3) (19.8%) | (417.3) (19.8%) | (439.6) (19.8%) | (460.1) (19.8%) | (478.2) (19.8%) | (493.5) (19.8%) | (505.9) (19.8%) |
% of revenue | 43.7 4.0% | (80.5) (8.7%) | 24.3 2.0% | (285.9) (30.2%) | (266.2) (16.4%) | (216.3) (14.9%) | (238.1) (14.9%) | (257.6) (14.9%) | (277.0) (14.9%) | (295.8) (14.9%) | (313.8) (14.9%) | (330.6) (14.9%) | (346.0) (14.9%) | (359.6) (14.9%) | (371.2) (14.9%) | (380.5) (14.9%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 335.7 30.7% | 92.3 9.9% | (257.3) (21.3%) | (623.0) (65.9%) | (7.1) (0.4%) | (212.3) (14.6%) | (233.6) (14.6%) | (252.9) (14.6%) | (271.9) (14.6%) | (290.3) (14.6%) | (308.0) (14.6%) | (324.5) (14.6%) | (339.6) (14.6%) | (352.9) (14.6%) | (364.3) (14.6%) | (373.4) (14.6%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.98 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.70 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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FAQ
What is GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $2.5, using a WACC of 4.4% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 4.4%.
What is GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately CN¥0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.