HGV DCF Model
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 894.0 (51.4%) | 2,335.0 161.2% | 3,835.0 64.2% | 3,978.0 3.7% | 4,981.0 25.2% | 5,429.8 9.0% | 5,701.1 5.0% | 5,785.4 1.5% | 5,878.4 1.6% | 5,980.4 1.7% | 6,091.8 1.9% | 6,213.0 2.0% | 6,344.6 2.1% | 6,487.0 2.2% | 6,640.9 2.4% | 6,806.9 2.5% |
% margin | (28.0) (3.1%) | 482.0 20.6% | 707.0 18.4% | 684.0 17.2% | 458.0 9.2% | 273.9 5.0% | 287.5 5.0% | 291.8 5.0% | 296.5 5.0% | 301.6 5.0% | 307.2 5.0% | 313.4 5.0% | 320.0 5.0% | 327.2 5.0% | 334.9 5.0% | 343.3 5.0% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (20.1) (2.2%) | 315.4 13.5% | 517.4 13.5% | 476.8 12.0% | 713.9 14.3% | 426.9 7.9% | 448.2 7.9% | 454.9 7.9% | 462.2 7.9% | 470.2 7.9% | 478.9 7.9% | 488.5 7.9% | 498.8 7.9% | 510.0 7.9% | 522.1 7.9% | 535.2 7.9% |
% of revenue | 45.0 5.0% | 126.0 5.4% | 244.0 6.4% | 213.0 5.4% | 268.0 5.4% | 309.4 5.7% | 324.9 5.7% | 329.7 5.7% | 335.0 5.7% | 340.8 5.7% | 347.2 5.7% | 354.1 5.7% | 361.6 5.7% | 369.7 5.7% | 378.5 5.7% | 387.9 5.7% |
% of revenue | (31.0) (3.5%) | (39.0) (1.7%) | (97.0) (2.5%) | (75.0) (1.9%) | 0.0 0.0% | (79.9) (1.5%) | (83.9) (1.5%) | (85.1) (1.5%) | (86.5) (1.5%) | (88.0) (1.5%) | (89.6) (1.5%) | (91.4) (1.5%) | (93.4) (1.5%) | (95.5) (1.5%) | (97.7) (1.5%) | (100.2) (1.5%) |
% of revenue | 83.0 9.3% | (375.0) (16.1%) | (50.0) (1.3%) | (401.0) (10.1%) | 0.0 0.0% | (206.0) (3.8%) | (216.3) (3.8%) | (219.5) (3.8%) | (223.1) (3.8%) | (226.9) (3.8%) | (231.2) (3.8%) | (235.8) (3.8%) | (240.8) (3.8%) | (246.2) (3.8%) | (252.0) (3.8%) | (258.3) (3.8%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 76.9 8.6% | 27.4 1.2% | 614.4 16.0% | 213.8 5.4% | 981.9 19.7% | 450.4 8.3% | 472.9 8.3% | 479.9 8.3% | 487.6 8.3% | 496.1 8.3% | 505.3 8.3% | 515.4 8.3% | 526.3 8.3% | 538.1 8.3% | 550.9 8.3% | 564.6 8.3% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.87 | 0.66 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.07 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 317.6 | 314.0 | 242.6 | 187.6 | 145.3 | 112.6 | 87.4 | 67.9 | 52.9 | 41.2 |
Best stock ideas on the market right now
With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.
Undervalued stocks right now
Discover the top 20 best undervalued stocks to buy for Mar 2025, listed on the Nasdaq or NYSE.
Low P/E stocks
Explore the best low P/E stocks to buy in 2025, featuring top companies trading at low P/E ratios.
Undervalued dividend stocks
Discover the top 20 best undervalued high-yield dividend stock that offers both growth potential and attractive dividend returns for Mar 2025.
HGV DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
Equity Value Bridge
HGV DCF Financials
HGV DCF sensitivity
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for HGV
FAQ
What is Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $19.1. This suggests it may be overvalued by (46.9%) compared to its current price of around $35.9, using a WACC of 31.4% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 31.4%.
What is Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $1,715.3M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.