NAPA
The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. (NAPA)
Last Price$11.10.0%
Market Cap$1,631.7M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
7.5%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

NAPA DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Jul'20 ActualJul'21 ActualJul'22 ActualJul'23 ActualJul'24 ActualJul'25 EstimateJul'26 EstimateJul'27 EstimateJul'28 EstimateJul'29 EstimateJul'30 EstimateJul'31 EstimateJul'32 EstimateJul'33 EstimateJul'34 EstimateJul'35 Terminal
% growth
270.6
12.2%
336.6
24.4%
372.5
10.7%
403.0
8.2%
405.5
0.6%
486.8
20.1%
504.5
3.6%
545.7
8.2%
589.0
7.9%
630.7
7.1%
670.1
6.2%
706.2
5.4%
738.3
4.5%
765.6
3.7%
787.4
2.8%
803.1
2.0%
63.2
23.3%
84.1
25.0%
87.3
23.4%
106.0
26.3%
94.8
23.4%
119.9
24.6%
124.3
24.6%
134.4
24.6%
145.1
24.6%
155.3
24.6%
165.0
24.6%
173.9
24.6%
181.8
24.6%
188.6
24.6%
193.9
24.6%
197.8
24.6%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
47.8
17.7%
61.1
18.2%
63.5
17.1%
77.7
19.3%
69.2
17.1%
87.4
18.0%
90.6
18.0%
98.0
18.0%
105.8
18.0%
113.3
18.0%
120.3
18.0%
126.8
18.0%
132.6
18.0%
137.5
18.0%
141.4
18.0%
144.2
18.0%
% of revenue
22.8
8.4%
8.9
2.6%
9.3
2.5%
27.8
6.9%
37.2
9.2%
30.1
6.2%
31.2
6.2%
33.7
6.2%
36.4
6.2%
39.0
6.2%
41.4
6.2%
43.6
6.2%
45.6
6.2%
47.3
6.2%
48.7
6.2%
49.6
6.2%
% of revenue
(13.6)
(5.0%)
(13.7)
(4.1%)
(44.6)
(12.0%)
(72.8)
(18.1%)
(28.0)
(6.9%)
(60.0)
(12.3%)
(62.1)
(12.3%)
(67.2)
(12.3%)
(72.6)
(12.3%)
(77.7)
(12.3%)
(82.5)
(12.3%)
(87.0)
(12.3%)
(90.9)
(12.3%)
(94.3)
(12.3%)
(97.0)
(12.3%)
(98.9)
(12.3%)
(12.6)
(4.6%)
(21.9)
(6.5%)
(27.9)
(7.5%)
(34.9)
(8.7%)
(100.5)
(24.8%)
(66.4)
(13.6%)
(68.8)
(13.6%)
(74.5)
(13.6%)
(80.4)
(13.6%)
(86.1)
(13.6%)
(91.4)
(13.6%)
(96.4)
(13.6%)
(100.7)
(13.6%)
(104.5)
(13.6%)
(107.4)
(13.6%)
(109.6)
(13.6%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
44.3
16.4%
34.4
10.2%
0.3
0.1%
(2.2)
(0.6%)
(22.2)
(5.5%)
(8.9)
(1.8%)
(9.2)
(1.8%)
(10.0)
(1.8%)
(10.7)
(1.8%)
(11.5)
(1.8%)
(12.2)
(1.8%)
(12.9)
(1.8%)
(13.5)
(1.8%)
(14.0)
(1.8%)
(14.4)
(1.8%)
(14.6)
(1.8%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
60.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.96
0.90
0.83
0.78
0.72
0.67
0.62
0.58
0.54
0.50
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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NAPA DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Dec 24, 2024
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
338.6M
Shares outstanding
147.1M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

NAPA DCF Financials

Revenue
$405.5M -> $787.4M 6.9% CAGR
Operating Income
$94.8M -> $193.9M 7.4% CAGR
FCFF
($22.2M) -> ($14.4M) (4.2%) CAGR

NAPA DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
7.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
7.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
7.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Dec 24, 2024, The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $11.1, using a WACC of 7.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. WACC?

As of Dec 24, 2024, The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.5%.

What is The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Dec 24, 2024, The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.