NTCO DCF Model
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 14,444.7 7.8% | 36,922.0 155.6% | 40,164.7 8.8% | 36,349.6 (9.5%) | 26,737.3 (26.4%) | 6,606.4 (75.3%) | 2,143.0 (67.6%) | 860.8 (59.8%) | 412.3 (52.1%) | 229.3 (44.4%) | 145.3 (36.6%) | 103.3 (28.9%) | 81.4 (21.2%) | 70.4 (13.5%) | 66.4 (5.7%) | 67.7 2.0% |
% margin | 3,308.9 22.9% | 3,536.8 9.6% | 2,314.4 5.8% | (28.2) (0.1%) | (154.8) (0.6%) | 672.7 10.2% | 218.2 10.2% | 87.6 10.2% | 42.0 10.2% | 23.4 10.2% | 14.8 10.2% | 10.5 10.2% | 8.3 10.2% | 7.2 10.2% | 6.8 10.2% | 6.9 10.2% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,689.2 11.7% | 7,489.5 20.3% | 28,894.3 71.9% | (29.6) (0.1%) | (149.8) (0.6%) | 650.9 9.9% | 211.1 9.9% | 84.8 9.9% | 40.6 9.9% | 22.6 9.9% | 14.3 9.9% | 10.2 9.9% | 8.0 9.9% | 6.9 9.9% | 6.5 9.9% | 6.7 9.9% |
% of revenue | 1,117.4 7.7% | 2,718.9 7.4% | 2,791.5 7.0% | 1,594.9 4.4% | 1,588.0 5.9% | 380.5 5.8% | 123.4 5.8% | 49.6 5.8% | 23.7 5.8% | 13.2 5.8% | 8.4 5.8% | 5.9 5.8% | 4.7 5.8% | 4.1 5.8% | 3.8 5.8% | 3.9 5.8% |
% of revenue | (586.4) (4.1%) | (674.2) (1.8%) | (1,479.2) (3.7%) | (1,102.8) (3.0%) | (947.1) (3.5%) | (225.9) (3.4%) | (73.3) (3.4%) | (29.4) (3.4%) | (14.1) (3.4%) | (7.8) (3.4%) | (5.0) (3.4%) | (3.5) (3.4%) | (2.8) (3.4%) | (2.4) (3.4%) | (2.3) (3.4%) | (2.3) (3.4%) |
% of revenue | (0.3) (0.0%) | (1,264.6) (3.4%) | (2,120.7) (5.3%) | (175.5) (0.5%) | (1,648.7) (6.2%) | (262.7) (4.0%) | (85.2) (4.0%) | (34.2) (4.0%) | (16.4) (4.0%) | (9.1) (4.0%) | (5.8) (4.0%) | (4.1) (4.0%) | (3.2) (4.0%) | (2.8) (4.0%) | (2.6) (4.0%) | (2.7) (4.0%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 2,219.9 15.4% | 8,269.6 22.4% | 28,086.0 69.9% | 286.9 0.8% | (1,157.7) (4.3%) | 542.7 8.2% | 176.1 8.2% | 70.7 8.2% | 33.9 8.2% | 18.8 8.2% | 11.9 8.2% | 8.5 8.2% | 6.7 8.2% | 5.8 8.2% | 5.5 8.2% | 5.6 8.2% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 81.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.94 | 0.83 | 0.73 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.30 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 415.9 | 145.6 | 51.5 | 21.8 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
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FAQ
What is Natura &Co Holding S.A. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 08, 2024, Natura &Co Holding S.A.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $0.2. This suggests it may be overvalued by (97.5%) compared to its current price of around $7.0, using a WACC of 13.5% and growth rates of 2.0%.
What is Natura &Co Holding S.A. WACC?
As of Mar 08, 2024, Natura &Co Holding S.A.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 13.5%.
What is Natura &Co Holding S.A. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 08, 2024, Natura &Co Holding S.A.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately R$676.0M. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.