Last Price$183.81.3%
Market Cap$250.6B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
4.3%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
TM DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Mar'20 Actual | Mar'21 Actual | Mar'22 Actual | Mar'23 Actual | Mar'24 Actual | Mar'25 Estimate | Mar'26 Estimate | Mar'27 Estimate | Mar'28 Estimate | Mar'29 Estimate | Mar'30 Estimate | Mar'31 Estimate | Mar'32 Estimate | Mar'33 Estimate | Mar'34 Estimate | Mar'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 29,929,992.0 (1.0%) | 27,214,593.0 (9.1%) | 31,379,507.0 15.3% | 37,154,298.0 18.4% | 45,095,325.0 21.4% | 44,684,836.5 (0.9%) | 48,409,574.5 8.3% | 50,037,959.9 3.4% | 51,911,995.8 3.7% | 54,865,639.1 5.7% | 54,403,823.3 (0.8%) | 54,309,499.5 (0.2%) | 54,578,313.7 0.5% | 55,213,229.5 1.2% | 56,224,545.8 1.8% | 57,630,159.4 2.5% |
% margin | 2,442,869.0 8.2% | 2,964,749.0 10.9% | 2,995,697.0 9.5% | 3,669,330.0 9.9% | 5,352,935.0 11.9% | 4,589,709.7 10.3% | 4,972,288.4 10.3% | 5,139,544.6 10.3% | 5,332,032.3 10.3% | 5,635,409.6 10.3% | 5,587,975.2 10.3% | 5,578,286.9 10.3% | 5,605,897.6 10.3% | 5,671,111.6 10.3% | 5,774,986.9 10.3% | 5,919,361.5 10.3% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,789,332.1 6.0% | 2,307,592.4 8.5% | 2,157,976.1 6.9% | 2,493,373.7 6.7% | 3,897,581.0 8.6% | 3,341,861.1 7.5% | 3,620,424.5 7.5% | 3,742,207.1 7.5% | 3,882,361.3 7.5% | 4,103,256.5 7.5% | 4,068,718.5 7.5% | 4,061,664.3 7.5% | 4,081,768.2 7.5% | 4,129,251.9 7.5% | 4,204,885.6 7.5% | 4,310,007.7 7.5% |
% of revenue | 1,595,347.0 5.3% | 1,644,290.0 6.0% | 1,821,880.0 5.8% | 2,039,904.0 5.5% | 2,087,066.0 4.6% | 2,371,935.7 5.3% | 2,569,650.2 5.3% | 2,656,087.2 5.3% | 2,755,563.7 5.3% | 2,912,347.4 5.3% | 2,887,833.5 5.3% | 2,882,826.7 5.3% | 2,897,095.7 5.3% | 2,930,798.0 5.3% | 2,984,480.1 5.3% | 3,059,092.1 5.3% |
% of revenue | (3,595,131.0) (12.0%) | (3,767,945.0) (13.8%) | (3,830,244.0) (12.2%) | (3,705,832.0) (10.0%) | (5,048,394.0) (11.2%) | (4,971,233.0) (11.1%) | (5,385,613.9) (11.1%) | (5,566,773.4) (11.1%) | (5,775,261.8) (11.1%) | (6,103,857.6) (11.1%) | (6,052,480.1) (11.1%) | (6,041,986.5) (11.1%) | (6,071,892.4) (11.1%) | (6,142,527.4) (11.1%) | (6,255,037.3) (11.1%) | (6,411,413.3) (11.1%) |
% of revenue | (313,740.0) (1.0%) | (1,063,562.0) (3.9%) | (1,130,667.0) (3.6%) | (1,502,482.0) (4.0%) | (3,975,836.0) (8.8%) | (2,452,246.5) (5.5%) | (2,656,655.3) (5.5%) | (2,746,019.0) (5.5%) | (2,848,863.7) (5.5%) | (3,010,955.9) (5.5%) | (2,985,612.0) (5.5%) | (2,980,435.6) (5.5%) | (2,995,187.8) (5.5%) | (3,030,031.2) (5.5%) | (3,085,530.9) (5.5%) | (3,162,669.2) (5.5%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (524,191.9) (1.8%) | (879,624.6) (3.2%) | (981,054.9) (3.1%) | (675,036.3) (1.8%) | (3,039,583.0) (6.7%) | (1,709,682.7) (3.8%) | (1,852,194.6) (3.8%) | (1,914,498.1) (3.8%) | (1,986,200.4) (3.8%) | (2,099,209.5) (3.8%) | (2,081,540.0) (3.8%) | (2,077,931.1) (3.8%) | (2,088,216.2) (3.8%) | (2,112,508.6) (3.8%) | (2,151,202.5) (3.8%) | (2,204,982.6) (3.8%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 7.7% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.98 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.67 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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TM DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
36.6T
N/A
Shares outstanding
1,363.6M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
TM DCF Financials
Revenue
¥45.1T -> ¥56.2T
2.2% CAGR
Operating Income
¥5,352.9B -> ¥5,775.0B
0.8% CAGR
FCFF
(¥3,039.6B) -> (¥2,151.2B)
(3.4%) CAGR
TM DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
3.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
3.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
4.3%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
4.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
5.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
3.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
3.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
4.3%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
4.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
5.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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FAQ
What is Toyota Motor Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Toyota Motor Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $183.8, using a WACC of 4.3% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Toyota Motor Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Toyota Motor Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 4.3%.
What is Toyota Motor Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Toyota Motor Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately ¥0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.