TRN
Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)
Last Price$29.2(1.1%)
Market Cap$2,384.1M
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
3.8%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good

TRN DCF Model

Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
Dec'20 ActualDec'21 ActualDec'22 ActualDec'23 ActualDec'24 ActualDec'25 EstimateDec'26 EstimateDec'27 EstimateDec'28 EstimateDec'29 EstimateDec'30 EstimateDec'31 EstimateDec'32 EstimateDec'33 EstimateDec'34 EstimateDec'35 Terminal
% growth
1,999.4
(33.5%)
1,516.0
(24.2%)
1,977.3
30.4%
2,983.3
50.9%
3,079.2
3.2%
2,545.6
(17.3%)
2,865.8
12.6%
2,974.4
3.8%
3,080.6
3.6%
3,183.6
3.3%
3,283.0
3.1%
3,378.1
2.9%
3,468.3
2.7%
3,553.2
2.4%
3,632.3
2.2%
3,704.9
2.0%
(157.4)
(7.9%)
(89.3)
(5.9%)
(92.5)
(4.7%)
417.0
14.0%
491.5
16.0%
174.0
6.8%
195.9
6.8%
203.4
6.8%
210.6
6.8%
217.7
6.8%
224.5
6.8%
231.0
6.8%
237.1
6.8%
242.9
6.8%
248.3
6.8%
253.3
6.8%
NOPAT
% effective tax rate
(72.0)
(3.6%)
(63.6)
(4.2%)
(72.3)
(3.7%)
391.8
13.1%
306.7
10.0%
108.6
4.3%
122.3
4.3%
126.9
4.3%
131.4
4.3%
135.8
4.3%
140.1
4.3%
144.1
4.3%
148.0
4.3%
151.6
4.3%
155.0
4.3%
158.1
4.3%
% of revenue
258.5
12.9%
265.7
17.5%
276.4
14.0%
293.2
9.8%
0.0
0.0%
202.0
7.9%
227.4
7.9%
236.0
7.9%
244.5
7.9%
252.6
7.9%
260.5
7.9%
268.1
7.9%
275.2
7.9%
282.0
7.9%
288.2
7.9%
294.0
7.9%
% of revenue
(704.5)
(35.2%)
(570.8)
(37.7%)
(966.8)
(48.9%)
(710.1)
(23.8%)
0.0
0.0%
(616.9)
(24.2%)
(694.4)
(24.2%)
(720.8)
(24.2%)
(746.5)
(24.2%)
(771.5)
(24.2%)
(795.5)
(24.2%)
(818.6)
(24.2%)
(840.5)
(24.2%)
(861.0)
(24.2%)
(880.2)
(24.2%)
(897.8)
(24.2%)
(190.3)
(9.5%)
336.4
22.2%
(261.0)
(13.2%)
(20.6)
(0.7%)
0.0
0.0%
(117.9)
(4.6%)
(132.7)
(4.6%)
(137.7)
(4.6%)
(142.6)
(4.6%)
(147.4)
(4.6%)
(152.0)
(4.6%)
(156.4)
(4.6%)
(160.6)
(4.6%)
(164.5)
(4.6%)
(168.2)
(4.6%)
(171.5)
(4.6%)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
% of revenue
(708.3)
(35.4%)
(32.3)
(2.1%)
(1,023.7)
(51.8%)
(45.7)
(1.5%)
306.7
10.0%
(424.1)
(16.7%)
(477.5)
(16.7%)
(495.6)
(16.7%)
(513.2)
(16.7%)
(530.4)
(16.7%)
(547.0)
(16.7%)
(562.8)
(16.7%)
(577.8)
(16.7%)
(592.0)
(16.7%)
(605.2)
(16.7%)
(617.3)
(16.7%)
% of FCFF used in calculation
78.9%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Discount period
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
Discount factor
0.98
0.95
0.91
0.88
0.85
0.81
0.78
0.76
0.73
0.70
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF)

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TRN DCF Value

DCF Value Calculation

as of Mar 18, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
0.0
Shares outstanding
81.8M
FX rate
N/A
100% overvalued

Equity Value Bridge

TRN DCF Financials

Revenue
$3,079.2M -> $3,632.3M 1.7% CAGR
Operating Income
$491.5M -> $248.3M (6.6%) CAGR
FCFF
$306.7M -> ($605.2M) N/A CAGR

TRN DCF sensitivity

DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
3.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
3.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
3.8%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
4.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
5.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
WACC
3.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
3.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
3.8%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
4.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
5.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)

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FAQ

What is Trinity Industries, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 18, 2025, Trinity Industries, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $29.2, using a WACC of 3.8% and growth rates of 2.0%.

What is Trinity Industries, Inc. WACC?

As of Mar 18, 2025, Trinity Industries, Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 3.8%.

What is Trinity Industries, Inc. Enterprise Value?

As of Mar 18, 2025, Trinity Industries, Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.