Last Price$60.23.0%
Market Cap$14.7B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
10.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
7/10
Good
BROS DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 327.4 37.4% | 497.9 52.1% | 739.0 48.4% | 965.8 30.7% | 1,281.0 32.6% | 1,579.2 23.3% | 1,931.6 22.3% | 2,290.9 18.6% | 2,666.3 16.4% | 3,086.9 15.8% | 3,505.6 13.6% | 3,903.4 11.3% | 4,260.1 9.1% | 4,555.1 6.9% | 4,769.8 4.7% | 4,889.0 2.5% |
% margin | 10.7 3.3% | (113.3) (22.8%) | (2.6) (0.4%) | 46.2 4.8% | 106.1 8.3% | (16.4) (1.0%) | (20.0) (1.0%) | (23.8) (1.0%) | (27.7) (1.0%) | (32.0) (1.0%) | (36.4) (1.0%) | (40.5) (1.0%) | (44.2) (1.0%) | (47.3) (1.0%) | (49.5) (1.0%) | (50.7) (1.0%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 9.3 2.8% | (112.8) (22.7%) | (3.0) (0.4%) | 27.2 2.8% | 83.1 6.5% | (12.8) (0.8%) | (15.7) (0.8%) | (18.6) (0.8%) | (21.7) (0.8%) | (25.1) (0.8%) | (28.5) (0.8%) | (31.7) (0.8%) | (34.6) (0.8%) | (37.0) (0.8%) | (38.7) (0.8%) | (39.7) (0.8%) |
% of revenue | 15.5 4.7% | 25.2 5.1% | 42.9 5.8% | 69.1 7.2% | 93.0 7.3% | 106.5 6.7% | 130.2 6.7% | 154.5 6.7% | 179.8 6.7% | 208.1 6.7% | 236.3 6.7% | 263.2 6.7% | 287.2 6.7% | 307.1 6.7% | 321.6 6.7% | 329.6 6.7% |
% of revenue | (40.6) (12.4%) | (118.4) (23.8%) | (187.9) (25.4%) | (228.5) (23.7%) | (221.7) (17.3%) | (349.5) (22.1%) | (427.5) (22.1%) | (507.0) (22.1%) | (590.0) (22.1%) | (683.1) (22.1%) | (775.8) (22.1%) | (863.8) (22.1%) | (942.7) (22.1%) | (1,008.0) (22.1%) | (1,055.5) (22.1%) | (1,081.9) (22.1%) |
% of revenue | (3.4) (1.0%) | 17.9 3.6% | (15.1) (2.0%) | 6.0 0.6% | 46.9 3.7% | 11.8 0.7% | 14.4 0.7% | 17.1 0.7% | 19.9 0.7% | 23.0 0.7% | 26.1 0.7% | 29.1 0.7% | 31.8 0.7% | 34.0 0.7% | 35.6 0.7% | 36.5 0.7% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (19.1) (5.8%) | (188.2) (37.8%) | (163.1) (22.1%) | (126.1) (13.1%) | 1.2 0.1% | (244.0) (15.5%) | (298.5) (15.5%) | (354.0) (15.5%) | (412.0) (15.5%) | (477.0) (15.5%) | (541.7) (15.5%) | (603.2) (15.5%) | (658.3) (15.5%) | (703.9) (15.5%) | (737.1) (15.5%) | (755.5) (15.5%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 80.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.38 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
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BROS DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 11, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
723.2M
N/A
Shares outstanding
243.6M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
BROS DCF Financials
Revenue
$1,281.0M -> $4,769.8M
14.0% CAGR
Operating Income
$106.1M -> ($49.5M)
N/A CAGR
FCFF
$1,228.1K -> ($737.1M)
N/A CAGR
BROS DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.7%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
11.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
12.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.7%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
11.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
12.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Dutch Bros Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Dutch Bros Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $60.2, using a WACC of 10.7% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Dutch Bros Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Dutch Bros Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 10.7%.
What is Dutch Bros Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 11, 2025, Dutch Bros Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.