Last Price$261.5(3.3%)
Market Cap$31.5B
DCF value
$1,197.5
Undervalued (DCF value)
357.9%
Discount Rate
5.7%
Long-Term Growth Rate
3.0%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
HUM DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Actual | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Estimate | Dec'35 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 77,155.0 18.9% | 83,064.0 7.7% | 92,870.0 11.8% | 106,374.0 14.5% | 117,761.0 10.7% | 119,644.7 1.6% | 120,239.7 0.5% | 128,451.9 6.8% | 134,702.0 4.9% | 140,897.1 4.6% | 147,001.7 4.3% | 152,978.9 4.1% | 158,791.5 3.8% | 164,401.7 3.5% | 169,771.9 3.3% | 174,865.0 3.0% |
% margin | 4,957.0 6.4% | 3,745.0 4.5% | 3,800.0 4.1% | 4,013.0 3.8% | 2,562.0 2.2% | 5,758.9 4.8% | 5,787.6 4.8% | 6,182.8 4.8% | 6,483.7 4.8% | 6,781.9 4.8% | 7,075.7 4.8% | 7,363.4 4.8% | 7,643.2 4.8% | 7,913.2 4.8% | 8,171.7 4.8% | 8,416.9 4.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 3,548.6 4.6% | 3,203.5 3.9% | 2,988.5 3.2% | 3,021.3 2.8% | 1,947.2 1.7% | 4,376.9 3.7% | 4,398.7 3.7% | 4,699.1 3.7% | 4,927.8 3.7% | 5,154.4 3.7% | 5,377.7 3.7% | 5,596.4 3.7% | 5,809.0 3.7% | 6,014.2 3.7% | 6,210.7 3.7% | 6,397.0 3.7% |
% of revenue | 616.0 0.8% | 713.0 0.9% | 845.0 0.9% | 917.0 0.9% | 839.0 0.7% | 990.8 0.8% | 995.7 0.8% | 1,063.7 0.8% | 1,115.5 0.8% | 1,166.8 0.8% | 1,217.4 0.8% | 1,266.9 0.8% | 1,315.0 0.8% | 1,361.5 0.8% | 1,405.9 0.8% | 1,448.1 0.8% |
% of revenue | (964.0) (1.2%) | (1,316.0) (1.6%) | (1,120.0) (1.2%) | (1,004.0) (0.9%) | (575.0) (0.5%) | (1,052.1) (0.9%) | (1,057.3) (0.9%) | (1,129.6) (0.9%) | (1,184.5) (0.9%) | (1,239.0) (0.9%) | (1,292.7) (0.9%) | (1,345.2) (0.9%) | (1,396.4) (0.9%) | (1,445.7) (0.9%) | (1,492.9) (0.9%) | (1,537.7) (0.9%) |
% of revenue | 2,143.0 2.8% | (556.0) (0.7%) | 534.0 0.6% | 81.0 0.1% | 0.0 0.0% | 259.7 0.2% | 261.0 0.2% | 278.8 0.2% | 292.4 0.2% | 305.8 0.2% | 319.1 0.2% | 332.0 0.2% | 344.7 0.2% | 356.8 0.2% | 368.5 0.2% | 379.5 0.2% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 5,343.6 6.9% | 2,044.5 2.5% | 3,247.5 3.5% | 3,015.3 2.8% | 2,211.2 1.9% | 4,575.3 3.8% | 4,598.0 3.8% | 4,912.1 3.8% | 5,151.1 3.8% | 5,388.0 3.8% | 5,621.4 3.8% | 5,850.0 3.8% | 6,072.3 3.8% | 6,286.8 3.8% | 6,492.2 3.8% | 6,687.0 3.8% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | 9.50 | ||||||
Discount factor | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.59 | ||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 3,694.9 | 4,233.3 | 4,280.0 | 4,247.7 | 4,204.8 | 4,151.8 | 4,089.0 | 4,016.9 | 3,935.9 | 3,846.5 |
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HUM DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
40.7B
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
160.3B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
95.0B
70.0%
135.7B
Total Debt
11.7B
144.4B
Shares outstanding
120.6M
FX rate
1.0
1,197.5
357.9% undervalued
Equity Value Bridge
HUM DCF Financials
Revenue
$117.8B -> $169.8B
3.7% CAGR
Operating Income
$2,562.0M -> $8,171.7M
12.3% CAGR
FCFF
$2,211.2M -> $6,492.2M
11.4% CAGR
HUM DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
5.0%
$1,234.0
$1,234.0
$1,234.0
$1,234.0
$1,234.0
5.5%
$1,206.0
$1,206.0
$1,206.0
$1,206.0
$1,206.0
5.7%
$1,198.0
$1,198.0
$1,198.0
$1,198.0
$1,198.0
6.5%
$1,075.0
$1,155.0
$1,155.0
$1,155.0
$1,155.0
7.0%
$973.0
$1,038.0
$1,119.0
$1,130.0
$1,130.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
WACC
5.0%
372.0%
372.0%
372.0%
372.0%
372.0%
5.5%
361.0%
361.0%
361.0%
361.0%
361.0%
5.7%
358.0%
358.0%
358.0%
358.0%
358.0%
6.5%
311.0%
342.0%
342.0%
342.0%
342.0%
7.0%
272.0%
297.0%
328.0%
332.0%
332.0%
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for HUM
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
Ben Graham Fair Value
Earnings Power Value
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
Discount rate
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Intrinsic Value
Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Humana Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Humana Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $1,197.5. This suggests it may be undervalued by 357.9% compared to its current price of around $261.5, using a WACC of 5.7% and growth rates of 3.0%.
What is Humana Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Humana Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 5.7%.
What is Humana Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Humana Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately $135.7B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.