Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 1,231.1 5.4% | 1,403.1 14.0% | 1,579.7 12.6% | 1,961.3 24.2% | 2,125.5 8.4% | 1,695.6 (20.2%) | 1,706.9 0.7% | 1,834.4 7.5% | 2,011.5 9.7% | 2,003.7 (0.4%) | 2,005.6 0.1% | 2,017.1 0.6% | 2,038.4 1.1% | 2,069.8 1.5% | 2,111.6 2.0% | 2,164.4 2.5% |
% margin | (98.1) (8.0%) | 331.9 23.7% | 31.0 2.0% | (141.1) (7.2%) | 530.7 25.0% | (265.0) (15.6%) | (266.8) (15.6%) | (286.7) (15.6%) | (314.4) (15.6%) | (313.2) (15.6%) | (313.5) (15.6%) | (315.3) (15.6%) | (318.6) (15.6%) | (323.5) (15.6%) | (330.1) (15.6%) | (338.3) (15.6%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (101.4) (8.2%) | 700.8 49.9% | 99.5 6.3% | (122.0) (6.2%) | 561.0 26.4% | (280.2) (16.5%) | (282.1) (16.5%) | (303.1) (16.5%) | (332.4) (16.5%) | (331.1) (16.5%) | (331.4) (16.5%) | (333.3) (16.5%) | (336.8) (16.5%) | (342.0) (16.5%) | (348.9) (16.5%) | (357.6) (16.5%) |
% of revenue | 386.2 31.4% | 411.3 29.3% | 387.5 24.5% | 476.0 24.3% | 435.6 20.5% | 391.7 23.1% | 394.3 23.1% | 423.7 23.1% | 464.6 23.1% | 462.8 23.1% | 463.2 23.1% | 465.9 23.1% | 470.8 23.1% | 478.1 23.1% | 487.7 23.1% | 499.9 23.1% |
% of revenue | (258.3) (21.0%) | (229.2) (16.3%) | (402.5) (25.5%) | (559.4) (28.5%) | (598.8) (28.2%) | (464.4) (27.4%) | (467.5) (27.4%) | (502.4) (27.4%) | (550.9) (27.4%) | (548.8) (27.4%) | (549.3) (27.4%) | (552.5) (27.4%) | (558.3) (27.4%) | (566.9) (27.4%) | (578.3) (27.4%) | (592.8) (27.4%) |
% of revenue | (18.1) (1.5%) | (157.8) (11.2%) | (69.8) (4.4%) | (46.2) (2.4%) | (225.0) (10.6%) | (98.1) (5.8%) | (98.8) (5.8%) | (106.2) (5.8%) | (116.4) (5.8%) | (116.0) (5.8%) | (116.1) (5.8%) | (116.7) (5.8%) | (118.0) (5.8%) | (119.8) (5.8%) | (122.2) (5.8%) | (125.3) (5.8%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 8.4 0.7% | 725.1 51.7% | 14.7 0.9% | (251.6) (12.8%) | 172.8 8.1% | (451.1) (26.6%) | (454.1) (26.6%) | (488.0) (26.6%) | (535.1) (26.6%) | (533.1) (26.6%) | (533.6) (26.6%) | (536.6) (26.6%) | (542.3) (26.6%) | (550.6) (26.6%) | (561.8) (26.6%) | (575.8) (26.6%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | ||||||||||||||||
Discount period | ||||||||||||||||
Discount factor | ||||||||||||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
Company name | Market Cap | Enterprise Value | Intrinsic Value | DCF Value | Relative value | Ben Graham Revised fair value | Peter Lynch fair value | Earnings Power Value (EPV),
% of EV | Market-Implied Value of Growth (MIVoG),
% of EV | Reverse DCF (implied FCF growth) | Reverse DCF (implied Revenue growth) |
$1,174.7M | $4,916.1M | $2.0 45.2% overvalued | N/A | $2.0 45.2% overvalued | Negative 368.2% overvalued | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
$301.6B | $410.1B | $57.8 77.5% overvalued | $25.1 90.0% overvalued | $90.6 64.7% overvalued | $140.5 45.2% overvalued | $153.1 40.4% overvalued | 70.1% | 29.9% | (1.0%) | (1.6%) | |
$187.9B | $325.6B | $25.1 3.6% overvalued | $28.3 9.0% undervalued | $21.8 16.0% overvalued | $53.1 104.3% undervalued | $37.1 42.5% undervalued | 112.7% | (12.7%) | (19.6%) | (20.5%) | |
$182.3B | $346.4B | $111.2 156.1% undervalued | $176.5 306.0% undervalued | $45.9 5.7% undervalued | $70.1 61.3% undervalued | $60.0 38.2% undervalued | 158.9% | (58.9%) | (19.5%) | (19.2%) | |
$137.5B | $229.3B | $90.8 152.7% undervalued | $132.0 267.0% undervalued | $49.6 38.1% undervalued | $40.2 11.8% undervalued | $47.5 32.1% undervalued | 126.7% | (26.7%) | (11.7%) | (10.3%) | |
$51.6B | $145.1B | $516.8 45.2% undervalued | $678.7 91.0% undervalued | $354.8 0.3% overvalued | $366.8 3.1% undervalued | $348.2 2.1% overvalued | 177.9% | (77.9%) | (13.5%) | (14.8%) | |
$44.9B | $82.2B | $65.9 354.2% undervalued | $41.4 186.0% undervalued | $90.3 522.6% undervalued | $35.9 147.7% undervalued | $241.8 1,567.5% undervalued | 96.3% | 3.7% | (4.0%) | (4.3%) | |
$30.2B | $30.2B | $44.4 14.7% undervalued | $36.5 6.0% overvalued | $52.4 35.1% undervalued | $76.9 98.3% undervalued | $208.0 436.7% undervalued | 48.2% | 51.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | |
$27.4B | $22.9B | $26.7 159.5% undervalued | $13.5 31.0% undervalued | $39.9 287.8% undervalued | $38.4 273.3% undervalued | $40.5 293.9% undervalued | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
$25.8B | $64.9B | $17.1 271.0% undervalued | $24.3 428.0% undervalued | $9.8 113.8% undervalued | $40.6 781.6% undervalued | N/A | 57.8% | 42.2% | (22.5%) | (21.7%) | |
$23.4B | $44.0B | $14.4 6.2% overvalued | $21.3 38.0% undervalued | $7.6 50.8% overvalued | $5.7 63.0% overvalued | $6.7 56.6% overvalued | 89.6% | 10.4% | (5.2%) | (5.6%) |