Last Price$27.4(10.9%)
Market Cap$27.5B
DCF value
N/A
Overvalued (DCF value)
(100.0%)
Discount Rate
9.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
2.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
LI DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 284.4 (28,436,700,100.0%) | 9,456.6 3,225.5% | 27,009.8 185.6% | 45,286.8 67.7% | 123,851.3 173.5% | 145,941.3 17.8% | 191,065.8 30.9% | 233,529.5 22.2% | 236,739.5 1.4% | 318,975.4 34.7% | 412,639.6 29.4% | 511,637.0 24.0% | 606,895.8 18.6% | 687,282.9 13.2% | 741,391.4 7.9% | 759,926.2 2.5% |
% margin | (1,858.6) (653.6%) | (669.3) (7.1%) | (1,017.3) (3.8%) | (3,654.9) (8.1%) | 7,406.9 6.0% | (30,021.5) (20.6%) | (39,304.0) (20.6%) | (48,039.2) (20.6%) | (48,699.5) (20.6%) | (65,616.2) (20.6%) | (84,883.7) (20.6%) | (105,248.4) (20.6%) | (124,844.0) (20.6%) | (141,380.4) (20.6%) | (152,511.0) (20.6%) | (156,323.8) (20.6%) |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | (1,815.2) (638.3%) | (588.4) (6.2%) | (2,140.0) (7.9%) | (3,439.9) (7.6%) | 8,368.8 6.8% | (33,920.3) (23.2%) | (44,408.4) (23.2%) | (54,278.0) (23.2%) | (55,024.1) (23.2%) | (74,137.7) (23.2%) | (95,907.5) (23.2%) | (118,916.9) (23.2%) | (141,057.4) (23.2%) | (159,741.3) (23.2%) | (172,317.5) (23.2%) | (176,625.4) (23.2%) |
% of revenue | 116.4 40.9% | 321.0 3.4% | 590.4 2.2% | 1,213.9 2.7% | 1,805.0 1.5% | 3,076.3 2.1% | 4,027.4 2.1% | 4,922.5 2.1% | 4,990.2 2.1% | 6,723.6 2.1% | 8,697.9 2.1% | 10,784.7 2.1% | 12,792.6 2.1% | 14,487.1 2.1% | 15,627.6 2.1% | 16,018.3 2.1% |
% of revenue | (952.9) (335.1%) | (675.2) (7.1%) | (3,444.6) (12.8%) | (5,127.9) (11.3%) | (6,507.2) (5.3%) | (14,268.3) (9.8%) | (18,680.0) (9.8%) | (22,831.6) (9.8%) | (23,145.4) (9.8%) | (31,185.4) (9.8%) | (40,342.7) (9.8%) | (50,021.5) (9.8%) | (59,334.7) (9.8%) | (67,193.9) (9.8%) | (72,484.0) (9.8%) | (74,296.1) (9.8%) |
% of revenue | (153.6) (54.0%) | 3,067.8 32.4% | 6,615.9 24.5% | 5,035.4 11.1% | 3,579.6 2.9% | 18,730.9 12.8% | 24,522.5 12.8% | 29,972.5 12.8% | 30,384.5 12.8% | 40,939.2 12.8% | 52,960.6 12.8% | 65,666.5 12.8% | 77,892.5 12.8% | 88,209.9 12.8% | 95,154.5 12.8% | 97,533.3 12.8% |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | (2,805.3) (986.5%) | 2,125.3 22.5% | 1,621.7 6.0% | (2,318.5) (5.1%) | 7,246.2 5.9% | (26,381.4) (18.1%) | (34,538.5) (18.1%) | (42,214.5) (18.1%) | (42,794.8) (18.1%) | (57,660.4) (18.1%) | (74,591.8) (18.1%) | (92,487.3) (18.1%) | (109,707.0) (18.1%) | (124,238.3) (18.1%) | (134,019.4) (18.1%) | (137,369.9) (18.1%) |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.48 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
Best stock ideas on the market right now
With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.
Undervalued stocks right now
Discover the top 20 best undervalued stocks to buy for Mar 2025, listed on the Nasdaq or NYSE.
3M Return 32.1%
S&P Outperformance 19.1%
Next 3M Predicted Return 20.3%
Low P/E stocks
Explore the best low P/E stocks to buy in 2025, featuring top companies trading at low P/E ratios.
3M Return 7.5%
S&P Outperformance -5.5%
Next 3M Predicted Return 10.2%
Undervalued dividend stocks
Discover the top 20 best undervalued high-yield dividend stock that offers both growth potential and attractive dividend returns for Mar 2025.
3M Return 28.4%
S&P Outperformance 15.4%
Next 3M Predicted Return 16.9%
LI DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
N/A
30.0%
Terminal Value (TV)
N/A
Discounted TV
% share of EV
N/A
70.0%
Total Debt
13.5B
N/A
Shares outstanding
1,005.6M
FX rate
N/A
N/A
100% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
LI DCF Financials
Revenue
CN¥123.9B -> CN¥741.4B
19.6% CAGR
Operating Income
CN¥7,406.9M -> (CN¥152.5B)
N/A CAGR
FCFF
CN¥7,246.2M -> (CN¥134.0B)
N/A CAGR
LI DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
8.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
9.5%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
10.0%
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
$0.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
WACC
8.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
8.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
9.5%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
10.0%
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
(100.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for LI
Margin of safety
Peter Lynch charts
Ben Graham Fair Value
Earnings Power Value
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
Discount rate
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Intrinsic Value
Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Li Auto Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Li Auto Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at N/A. This suggests it may be overvalued by (100.0%) compared to its current price of around $27.4, using a WACC of 9.0% and growth rates of 2.5%.
What is Li Auto Inc. WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Li Auto Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 9.0%.
What is Li Auto Inc. Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Li Auto Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately CN¥0.0. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.