Last Price$38.5(1.0%)
Market Cap$22.5B
DCF value
$5.8
Overvalued (DCF value)
(85.0%)
Discount Rate
8.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate
1.5%
Stock quality
6/10
Good
PBA DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 7,230.0 (1.6%) | 6,202.0 (14.2%) | 8,627.0 39.1% | 11,611.0 34.6% | 9,125.0 (21.4%) | 7,448.1 (18.4%) | 8,629.9 15.9% | 8,805.5 2.0% | 7,919.6 (10.1%) | 7,490.8 (5.4%) | 7,171.6 (4.3%) | 6,948.5 (3.1%) | 6,812.5 (2.0%) | 6,757.7 (0.8%) | 6,781.2 0.3% | 6,882.9 1.5% |
% margin | 1,822.0 25.2% | 1,780.0 28.7% | 2,115.0 24.5% | 2,595.0 22.3% | 2,655.0 29.1% | 1,402.7 18.8% | 1,625.3 18.8% | 1,658.4 18.8% | 1,491.5 18.8% | 1,410.7 18.8% | 1,350.6 18.8% | 1,308.6 18.8% | 1,283.0 18.8% | 1,272.7 18.8% | 1,277.1 18.8% | 1,296.3 18.8% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 1,779.1 24.6% | 1,352.1 21.8% | 1,577.7 18.3% | 2,395.1 20.6% | 2,154.1 23.6% | 1,138.1 15.3% | 1,318.6 15.3% | 1,345.5 15.3% | 1,210.1 15.3% | 1,144.6 15.3% | 1,095.8 15.3% | 1,061.7 15.3% | 1,040.9 15.3% | 1,032.6 15.3% | 1,036.2 15.3% | 1,051.7 15.3% |
% of revenue | 515.0 7.1% | 715.0 11.5% | 739.0 8.6% | 699.0 6.0% | 663.0 7.3% | 542.5 7.3% | 628.6 7.3% | 641.4 7.3% | 576.9 7.3% | 545.6 7.3% | 522.4 7.3% | 506.1 7.3% | 496.2 7.3% | 492.2 7.3% | 493.9 7.3% | 501.4 7.3% |
% of revenue | (1,645.0) (22.8%) | (1,029.0) (16.6%) | (658.0) (7.6%) | (605.0) (5.2%) | (606.0) (6.6%) | (483.6) (6.5%) | (560.3) (6.5%) | (571.7) (6.5%) | (514.2) (6.5%) | (486.4) (6.5%) | (465.6) (6.5%) | (451.2) (6.5%) | (442.3) (6.5%) | (438.8) (6.5%) | (440.3) (6.5%) | (446.9) (6.5%) |
% of revenue | 106.0 1.5% | (93.0) (1.5%) | (100.0) (1.2%) | 177.0 1.5% | (210.0) (2.3%) | (48.1) (0.6%) | (55.7) (0.6%) | (56.8) (0.6%) | (51.1) (0.6%) | (48.3) (0.6%) | (46.3) (0.6%) | (44.8) (0.6%) | (44.0) (0.6%) | (43.6) (0.6%) | (43.8) (0.6%) | (44.4) (0.6%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 755.1 10.4% | 945.1 15.2% | 1,558.7 18.1% | 2,666.1 23.0% | 2,001.1 21.9% | 1,148.9 15.4% | 1,331.2 15.4% | 1,358.3 15.4% | 1,221.6 15.4% | 1,155.5 15.4% | 1,106.2 15.4% | 1,071.8 15.4% | 1,050.9 15.4% | 1,042.4 15.4% | 1,046.0 15.4% | 1,061.7 15.4% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | 100.0% | 83.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
Discount period | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.50 | |||||||
Discount factor | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.52 | |||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) | 1,063.3 | 1,210.0 | 1,007.5 | 882.2 | 782.0 | 701.4 | 636.7 | 584.7 | 543.2 |
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PBA DCF Value
DCF Value Calculation
as of Mar 03, 2025
Sum of DFCFF
% share of EV
7,410.9M
46.7%
Terminal Value (TV)
16.3B
Discounted TV
% share of EV
8,462.9M
53.3%
Total Debt
11.1B
4,867.7M
Shares outstanding
583.9M
FX rate
0.7
5.8
85% overvalued
Equity Value Bridge
PBA DCF Financials
Revenue
CA$9,125.0M -> CA$6,781.2M
(2.9%) CAGR
Operating Income
CA$2,655.0M -> CA$1,277.1M
(7.1%) CAGR
FCFF
CA$2,001.1M -> CA$1,046.0M
(6.3%) CAGR
PBA DCF sensitivity
DCF value
Long-term Terminal growth rate
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
WACC
7.0%
$7.0
$8.0
$9.0
$10.0
$12.0
7.5%
$6.0
$6.0
$7.0
$8.0
$10.0
8.0%
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
$7.0
$8.0
8.5%
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$5.0
$6.0
9.0%
$3.0
$3.0
$4.0
$4.0
$5.0
DCF value, undervalued / overvalued
Long-term Terminal growth rate
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
WACC
7.0%
(82.0%)
(79.0%)
(77.0%)
(74.0%)
(69.0%)
7.5%
(84.0%)
(84.0%)
(82.0%)
(79.0%)
(74.0%)
8.0%
(90.0%)
(87.0%)
(84.0%)
(82.0%)
(79.0%)
8.5%
(92.0%)
(90.0%)
(87.0%)
(87.0%)
(84.0%)
9.0%
(92.0%)
(92.0%)
(90.0%)
(90.0%)
(87.0%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for PBA
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Reverse DCF
FAQ
What is Pembina Pipeline Corporation DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Pembina Pipeline Corporation's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $5.8. This suggests it may be overvalued by (85.0%) compared to its current price of around $38.5, using a WACC of 8.0% and growth rates of 1.5%.
What is Pembina Pipeline Corporation WACC?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Pembina Pipeline Corporation's Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 8.0%.
What is Pembina Pipeline Corporation Enterprise Value?
As of Mar 03, 2025, Pembina Pipeline Corporation's Enterprise Value (EV) is approximately CA$15.9B. This value reflects the company's total market capitalization plus debt, minus cash and cash equivalents, providing a comprehensive measure of its overall value in the market.