Last Price$61.10.8%
Market Cap$100.5B
RIO Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value of RIO Overview
Key Highlights:
As of Mar 03, 2025 RIO Relative Value is $78.3, which is undervalued by 28.3%, compared to current share price of $61.1.
As of Mar 03, 2025 RIO DCF Value is N/A, which is undervalued by N/A, compared to current share price of $61.1.
RIO Historical Intrinsic Value
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RIO Valuation Metrics
LTM
NTM
1Y Forward
2Y Forward
EV/Revenue
1.3x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
EV/Gross Profit
4.6x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
EV/EBIT
4.7x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
EV/EBITDA
3.4x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
EV/FCF
9.3x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
EV/OCF
4.8x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/Revenue
1.2x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/Gross Profit
4.3x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/EBIT
4.4x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/EBITDA
3.2x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/FCF
8.7x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/OCF
4.5x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/E
6.4x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
P/BV
1.7x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
PEG 1Y
0.6x (as of Mar 03, 2025)
RIO DCF Model
Free Cash Flow to Firm Model
NOPAT Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
Net Income Model
Millions
Billions
| Dec'19 Actual | Dec'20 Actual | Dec'21 Actual | Dec'22 Actual | Dec'23 Actual | Dec'24 Estimate | Dec'25 Estimate | Dec'26 Estimate | Dec'27 Estimate | Dec'28 Estimate | Dec'29 Estimate | Dec'30 Estimate | Dec'31 Estimate | Dec'32 Estimate | Dec'33 Estimate | Dec'34 Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% growth | 43,165.0 6.5% | 44,611.0 3.3% | 63,495.0 42.3% | 55,554.0 (12.5%) | 54,041.0 (2.7%) | 53,334.9 (1.3%) | 52,413.5 (1.7%) | 53,162.2 1.4% | 57,090.7 7.4% | 60,523.3 6.0% | 63,757.5 5.3% | 66,738.2 4.7% | 69,411.9 4.0% | 71,728.5 3.3% | 73,642.8 2.7% | 75,115.7 2.0% |
% margin | 15,903.0 36.8% | 16,829.0 37.7% | 29,817.0 47.0% | 19,933.0 35.9% | 14,823.0 27.4% | 17,714.8 33.2% | 17,408.7 33.2% | 17,657.4 33.2% | 18,962.2 33.2% | 20,102.3 33.2% | 21,176.6 33.2% | 22,166.6 33.2% | 23,054.6 33.2% | 23,824.1 33.2% | 24,459.9 33.2% | 24,949.1 33.2% |
NOPAT % effective tax rate | 9,971.7 23.1% | 11,371.7 25.5% | 21,831.1 34.4% | 13,966.6 25.1% | 10,702.5 19.8% | 12,790.4 24.0% | 12,569.4 24.0% | 12,749.0 24.0% | 13,691.0 24.0% | 14,514.2 24.0% | 15,289.8 24.0% | 16,004.6 24.0% | 16,645.8 24.0% | 17,201.4 24.0% | 17,660.4 24.0% | 18,013.6 24.0% |
% of revenue | 4,767.0 11.0% | 4,652.0 10.4% | 5,112.0 8.1% | 6,527.0 11.7% | 6,289.0 11.6% | 5,589.0 10.5% | 5,492.5 10.5% | 5,570.9 10.5% | 5,982.6 10.5% | 6,342.3 10.5% | 6,681.2 10.5% | 6,993.6 10.5% | 7,273.8 10.5% | 7,516.5 10.5% | 7,717.1 10.5% | 7,871.5 10.5% |
% of revenue | (5,488.0) (12.7%) | (6,189.0) (13.9%) | (7,384.0) (11.6%) | (6,750.0) (12.2%) | (7,086.0) (13.1%) | (6,558.7) (12.3%) | (6,445.4) (12.3%) | (6,537.5) (12.3%) | (7,020.6) (12.3%) | (7,442.7) (12.3%) | (7,840.4) (12.3%) | (8,207.0) (12.3%) | (8,535.8) (12.3%) | (8,820.7) (12.3%) | (9,056.1) (12.3%) | (9,237.2) (12.3%) |
% of revenue | 28.0 0.1% | (285.0) (0.6%) | (1,079.0) (1.7%) | (465.0) (0.8%) | (926.0) (1.7%) | (755.6) (1.4%) | (742.5) (1.4%) | (753.1) (1.4%) | (808.8) (1.4%) | (857.4) (1.4%) | (903.2) (1.4%) | (945.4) (1.4%) | (983.3) (1.4%) | (1,016.1) (1.4%) | (1,043.2) (1.4%) | (1,064.1) (1.4%) |
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) % of revenue | 9,278.7 21.5% | 9,549.7 21.4% | 18,480.1 29.1% | 13,278.6 23.9% | 8,979.5 16.6% | 11,065.1 20.7% | 10,873.9 20.7% | 11,029.3 20.7% | 11,844.3 20.7% | 12,556.4 20.7% | 13,227.4 20.7% | 13,845.8 20.7% | 14,400.5 20.7% | 14,881.1 20.7% | 15,278.3 20.7% | 15,583.8 20.7% |
% of FCFF used in calculation | ||||||||||||||||
Discount period | ||||||||||||||||
Discount factor | ||||||||||||||||
Discounted FCFF (DFCFF) |
RIO DCF Value
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RIO Earnings Power Value and Enterprise Value
Annual
LTM
Enterprise Value Breakdown
EPV and MIVoG as % of EV
RIO Reverse DCF
Implied FCF growth
Implied Revenue growth
Reverse DCF Assumptions and Outputs
as of Dec 31, 2024
11.5B
Long-Term growth rate
2.0%
FX rate
1.0
Last share price
58.8
Implied FCF growth 1-10Y
0.0%
Implied Free Cash Flow growth vs Historical average vs Industry growth
Competing with RIO Intrinsic Value
Overview
Ratings
Intrinsic Value
Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Health
Capital allocation
Momentum
Earnings
Dividends
Company name | Market Cap | Enterprise Value | Intrinsic Value | DCF Value | Relative value | Ben Graham Revised fair value | Peter Lynch fair value | Earnings Power Value (EPV),
% of EV | Market-Implied Value of Growth (MIVoG),
% of EV | Reverse DCF (implied FCF growth) | Reverse DCF (implied Revenue growth) |
$100.5B | $107.2B | $76.9 26.0% undervalued | N/A | $76.9 26.0% undervalued | $152.5 149.8% undervalued | $147.1 140.9% undervalued | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
$63.1B | $73.4B | $143.6 194.0% undervalued | $157.9 223.0% undervalued | $129.3 164.7% undervalued | $760.2 1,456.4% undervalued | $1,386.2 2,738.3% undervalued | 241.2% | (141.2%) | (33.3%) | (36.8%) | |
$40.6B | $53.3B | $23.9 154.5% undervalued | $26.1 178.0% undervalued | $21.7 131.3% undervalued | $19.0 102.0% undervalued | $13.3 41.5% undervalued | 195.2% | (95.2%) | 0.8% | (5.5%) | |
$21.1B | $22.7B | $31.9 19.3% overvalued | N/A | $31.9 19.3% overvalued | Negative 181.8% overvalued | Negative 137.3% overvalued | 14.9% | 85.1% | (100.0%) | (100.0%) | |
$3,845.0M | $2,999.9M | $8.7 61.3% overvalued | N/A | $8.7 61.3% overvalued | $190.3 744.8% undervalued | N/A | (31.0%) | 131.0% | (100.0%) | (100.0%) | |
$1,881.1M | $2,381.4M | $109.0 24.8% undervalued | N/A | $109.0 24.8% undervalued | $514.8 489.3% undervalued | $110.6 26.6% undervalued | 10.4% | 89.6% | 41.7% | (100.0%) | |
$1,617.3M | $2,699.3M | $9.8 49.4% overvalued | N/A | $9.8 49.4% overvalued | Negative 1,291.0% overvalued | N/A | 99.5% | 0.5% | (21.7%) | (16.6%) | |
$1,237.9M | $1,348.8M | $38.3 244.9% undervalued | $68.6 517.0% undervalued | $8.1 27.4% overvalued | Negative 165.1% overvalued | N/A | 0.9% | 99.1% | 38.6% | (100.0%) | |
$1,056.1M | $1,008.6M | $0.5 94.8% overvalued | N/A | $0.5 94.8% overvalued | $7.6 20.9% overvalued | $50.0 423.5% undervalued | (69.5%) | 169.5% | (100.0%) | 0.0% | |
$698.0M | $2,082.6M | $24.0 364.8% undervalued | N/A | $24.0 364.8% undervalued | $125.3 2,324.5% undervalued | N/A | 230.0% | (130.0%) | (100.0%) | (100.0%) | |
$198.5M | $164.1M | $1.4 61.6% overvalued | N/A | $1.4 61.6% overvalued | Negative 1,051.2% overvalued | Negative 201.2% overvalued | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Intrinsic Valuation Tools
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