Value Sense
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
Last Price$50.00.3%
Market Cap$68.7B
LTM EPS
$1.11
EPS growth
15.8%
Ben Graham Fair Value
$38.3
Overvalued (Ben Graham formula)
(23.5%)
Stock quality
8/10
Great
CMG
is 54.9% overvalued
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CMG Ben Graham Fair Value

Ben Graham Fair Value
Ben Graham Revised Fair Value

Ben Graham Fair Value Assumptions

as of Mar 12, 2025
EPS
$1.11
P/E Base for no-growth company
8.5x
EPS growth
15.8%
Average Yield of AAA Corporate Bonds
4.4%
Current Yield of AAA Corporate Bonds
5.1%
Last share price
$50.0
Ben Graham Fair Value (local)
$38.3
Ben Graham Fair Value
$38.3
23.5% overvalued

Ben Graham Fair Value Calculation

EPS
$1.11
x
(
P/E base for no-growth
8.5x
+
2
x
EPS growth
15.8%
)
x
Average AAA
Bond Yield
4.4%
/
Current AAA Bond Yield
5.1%
=
Ben Graham Fair Value
$38.3

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CMG EPS growth & Dividend Yield

Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Industry Median
5Y Historical Average
Benchmark
EPS growth
Dividend Yield

CMG vs Peer Set: Ben Graham Fair Value Comparison

Ben Graham Fair Value
Ben Graham Revised Fair Value

GENERAL

BEN GRAHAM FAIR VALUE

FINANCIALS

Company name

Undervaluation / Overvaluation

Revenue growth

EPS growth

Net Income margin

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG
(23.5%)
14.6%
25.8%
13.6%
Median Peer Set
7.6%
10.0%
11.3%
Restaurant Brands International Inc. logo
Restaurant Brands International Inc.QSR
62.8%
19.7%
(41.8%)
12.1%
Darden Restaurants, Inc. logo
Darden Restaurants, Inc.DRI
19.5%
8.6%
6.3%
9.0%
Yum China Holdings, Inc. logo
Yum China Holdings, Inc.YUMC
8.3%
3.0%
18.1%
8.1%
Yum! Brands, Inc. logo
Yum! Brands, Inc.YUM
6.9%
6.7%
(7.2%)
19.7%
Dutch Bros Inc. logo
Dutch Bros Inc.BROS
(23.0%)
32.6%
1,127.4%
2.8%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. logo
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.TXRH
(28.0%)
16.0%
42.5%
8.1%
McDonald's Corporation logo
McDonald's CorporationMCD
(28.3%)
1.7%
(1.1%)
31.7%
Domino's Pizza, Inc. logo
Domino's Pizza, Inc.DPZ
(39.3%)
5.1%
13.6%
12.4%
Starbucks Corporation logo
Starbucks CorporationSBUX
(134.0%)
0.6%
(8.1%)
10.4%
CAVA Group, Inc. logo
CAVA Group, Inc.CAVA
(221.1%)
32.3%
418.2%
13.5%

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for CMG

Peter Lynch Fair Value
Reverse DCF
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Earnings Power Value
Discount rate
Relative Value
Intrinsic Value
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DCF value calculator
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FAQ

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s fair value according to the Ben Graham formula?

As of Dec 31, 2024, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s fair value using the Ben Graham formula is $38.3 per share. This is calculated using Ben Graham formula, where EPS is $1.1 and BVPS (Book Value Per Share) is $2.7. The current price of $50.0 suggests Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. may be overvalued by this conservative metric.

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. earnings per share (EPS)?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. earnings per share (EPS) for the twelve months ending Dec 31, 2024, was $1.1, a 15.8% growth year-over-year.

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s margin of safety based on the Ben Graham analysis?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s margin of safety is negative 23.5%, calculated as (Graham Number - Current Price) / Current Price. A negative margin of safety suggests the stock doesn't provide the level of safety Graham typically sought in his investments.