Value Sense
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
Last Price$50.00.3%
Market Cap$68.7B
Intrinsic value score
8/10
Great
Intrinsic value
$22.5
DCF value - $15.3 Relative value - $29.8
Overvalued
54.9%
LTM P/E
44.8x
Peer set median 27.1x
Discount rate
9.5%
CMG
is 54.9% overvalued
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CMG Intrinsic value

Key Highlights:
Relative Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 11, 2025 CMG Relative Value is $30.1, which is overvalued by 39.8%, compared to current share price of $50.0.
DCF Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 11, 2025 CMG DCF Value is $15.6, which is overvalued by 68.7%, compared to current share price of $50.0.
Methodology
Price per share, $
CMG
Intrinsic value$22.5
Overvalued by54.9%
Current share price
50.0
Relative value
30.1
DCF value
15.6

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CMG Historical Intrinsic Value

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CMG vs Peer Set: Intrinsic Value Comparison

General

Intrinsic Value

Financials

Company name

Undervaluation/Overvaluation

Revenue growth

EPS growth

Net income margin

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG
(54.9%)
14.6%
25.8%
13.6%
Median Peer Set
7.6%
10.0%
11.3%
Dutch Bros Inc. logo
Dutch Bros Inc.BROS
(80.2%)
32.6%
1,127.4%
2.8%
CAVA Group, Inc. logo
CAVA Group, Inc.CAVA
(71.7%)
32.3%
418.2%
13.5%
Starbucks Corporation logo
Starbucks CorporationSBUX
(36.7%)
0.6%
(8.1%)
10.4%
McDonald's Corporation logo
McDonald's CorporationMCD
(23.3%)
1.7%
(1.1%)
31.7%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. logo
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.TXRH
(3.8%)
16.0%
42.5%
8.1%
Darden Restaurants, Inc. logo
Darden Restaurants, Inc.DRI
(1.8%)
8.6%
6.3%
9.0%
Yum! Brands, Inc. logo
Yum! Brands, Inc.YUM
0.7%
6.7%
(7.2%)
19.7%
Domino's Pizza, Inc. logo
Domino's Pizza, Inc.DPZ
6.6%
5.1%
13.6%
12.4%
Yum China Holdings, Inc. logo
Yum China Holdings, Inc.YUMC
65.7%
3.0%
18.1%
8.1%
Restaurant Brands International Inc. logo
Restaurant Brands International Inc.QSR
100.6%
19.7%
(41.8%)
12.1%

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for CMG

DCF value calculator
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Peter Lynch Fair Value
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Ben Graham Fair Value
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Discount rate

FAQ

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. intrinsic value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Intrinsic Value is $22.5. This suggests it may be overvalued by 54.9% compared to its current price of around $50.0.

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $15.6. This suggests it may be overvalued by 68.7% to its current price of around $50.0, using a discount rate of 9.5% and terminal growth rate of 2.5%.

Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is currently considered overvalued based on its Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation and Relative Valuation, which estimates its share price to be $22.5, compared to a market price of around $50.0. This suggests a potential overvaluation of 54.9%.