ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO)
Last Price$19.7(1.7%)
Market Cap$16.3B
ZTO Rating
ZTO Quality rating performance
ZTO Intrinsic Value
Key Highlights:
As of Mar 11, 2025 ZTO Relative Value is $27.5, which is undervalued by 39.9%, compared to current share price of $19.7.
As of Mar 11, 2025 ZTO DCF Value is $10.4, which is overvalued by 47.2%, compared to current share price of $19.7.
ZTO Share Price History
1W (4.5%)
1M 3.9%
6M (10.4%)
YTD (0.6%)
1Y 2.3%
3Y (7.2%)
5Y (22.1%)
10Y 32.7%
Share Price
Intrinsic Value
Drawdown
Total Return
vs SP500
vs NASDAQ
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ZTO Stock Metrics
Key stats
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Valuation
Ratios
Per share
Per employee
Dividends & Yields
Base
$16.3B
$15.7B
CN¥42.0B
CN¥3,370.7M
Shares Outstanding
831M
Employees
N/A
Growth (CAGR)
15.0%
17.2%
5.37%
28.3%
11.9%
11.24%
Profitability
31.2%
26.4%
20.5%
29.9%
8.0%
54.1%
Intrinsic Value
$18.8 (4.5% overvalued)
$10.3
$27.3
90.5%
Return on Capital
Financial Health
CN¥22.9B
(CN¥4,626.7M)
(1.4x)
33.8x
29.9%
Dividends
22.5%
4.8%
168.3%
Sep 10, 2024
Earnings
May 13, 2025
BEAT by 4.9%
BEAT by 2.4%
(12.8%)
8 Beat & 2 Miss
ZTO Stock Financials
ZTO Income Statement Metrics
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
ZTO Cash Flow Statement Metrics
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
$1,887.7M +16.4% YoY
Capital Expenditure (CAPEX)
($942.4M) -11.6% YoY
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
$945.4M N/A YoY
ZTO Income Statement Overview
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Dec'14
Dec'15
Dec'16
Dec'17
Dec'18
Dec'19
Dec'20
Dec'21
Dec'22
Dec'23
$5,428.1M 8.6% YoY
Cost of revenue
$3,780.4M 1.6% YoY
Pre-tax income
$1,510.8M 29.0% YoY
27.8% margin
ZTO Balance Sheet Overview
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Dec'14
Dec'15
Dec'16
Dec'17
Dec'18
Dec'19
Dec'20
Dec'21
Dec'22
Dec'23
Assets
Liabilities
Total assets
$12.5B
Current assets ($3,796.4M, 30.5% of total)
$2,801.9M (22.5%)
$81.3M (0.7%)
Other current assets
$913.2M (7.3%)
Non-current assets ($8,663.9M, 69.5% of total)
$2,200.9M (17.7%)
$4,627.4M (37.1%)
$797.3M (6.4%)
Other non-current assets
$1,038.4M (8.3%)
Financial position
($627.5M)
Cash & Short-term
Investments
Total Debt
ZTO Stock Ratios
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Industry Median
5Y Historical Average
Benchmark
ZTO Earnings Surprises
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ZTO Dividends
ZTO Dividend Yield
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ZTO Dividend Per Share
3Y
10Y
30Y
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Competing with ZTO
Overview
Ratings
Intrinsic Value
Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Health
Capital allocation
Momentum
Earnings
Dividends
Company name | Market Cap | Quality rating | Intrinsic value | 1Y Return | Revenue | Free Cash Flow | Revenue growth | FCF margin | Gross margin | ROIC | Total Debt to Equity |
$16.3B | 7.4 | $18.8 4.5% overvalued | 2.3% | CN¥42.0B | CN¥3,370.7M | 11.4% | 8.0% | 31.2% | 19.9% | 29.9% | |
$100.1B | 6.6 | $138.7 19.2% undervalued | (20.9%) | $91.0B | $6,213.0M | 0.0% | 6.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 153.2% | |
$58.8B | 6.3 | $419.7 72.7% undervalued | (1.8%) | $87.4B | $2,647.0M | (0.6%) | 3.0% | 22.5% | 5.6% | 67.4% | |
$16.5B | 6.4 | $99.2 15.5% overvalued | (1.5%) | $10.6B | $682.9M | 14.0% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 38.8% | 25.6% | |
$16.0B | 6.2 | $123.3 20.0% overvalued | (22.4%) | $12.1B | $617.8M | (5.8%) | 5.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 36.8% | |
$12.5B | 6.1 | $53.3 50.3% overvalued | (12.1%) | $8,072.0M | $15.0M | 4.2% | 0.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 257.2% | |
$12.0B | 5.5 | $118.5 20.9% undervalued | 34.1% | $17.7B | $447.3M | 0.7% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 101.1% | |
$5,551.3M | 5.6 | $171.8 12.9% undervalued | (17.7%) | $4,819.2M | $255.6M | (9.1%) | 5.3% | 15.2% | 26.6% | 3.4% | |
$4,427.1M | 5.2 | $59.3 60.2% undervalued | (24.9%) | $11.7B | $190.0M | 19.7% | 1.6% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 170.5% | |
$2,289.1M | 5.5 | $66.8 75.8% undervalued | (9.2%) | $3,946.4M | $143.6M | (6.1%) | 3.6% | 26.7% | 4.8% | 30.1% | |
$1,628.2M | 6.0 | $14.0 53.1% undervalued | 129.6% | $2,639.3M | $156.8M | (19.2%) | 5.9% | 47.6% | 13.5% | (354.0%) |
FAQ
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) stock rating?
As of today, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a stock rating of 7 (out of 10), which is considered Great.
is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) a good stock to buy?
As of today, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a Great stock rating, which is 4.5% overvalued. According to Value Sense backtesting, stocks with similar profile tend to outperform the market by 0.5%.