Last Price$19.7(1.7%)
Market Cap$16.3B
LTM NOPAT
CN¥8,648.6M
NOPAT margin
20.6%
5Y avg: 18.2%
EPV as % of EV
90.5%
Market-Implied Value of Growth,
MIVoG as % of EV
9.5%
Discount rate
7.1%
Stock quality
7/10
Great
ZTO Earnings Power Value Model
| (CNY M) | Dec'19 | Mar'20 | Jun'20 | Sep'20 | Dec'20 | Mar'21 | Jun'21 | Sep'21 | Dec'21 | Mar'22 | Jun'22 | Sep'22 | Dec'22 | Mar'23 | Jun'23 | Sep'23 | Dec'23 | Mar'24 | Jun'24 | Sep'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LTM Revenue % growth | 22,109.9 25.6% | 21,451.8 15.1% | 22,430.6 12.9% | 23,803.7 13.9% | 25,214.3 14.0% | 27,770.9 29.5% | 28,693.6 27.9% | 29,445.5 23.7% | 30,405.8 20.6% | 31,837.4 14.6% | 33,169.0 15.6% | 34,723.2 17.9% | 35,377.0 16.3% | 36,456.2 14.5% | 37,539.8 13.2% | 37,670.8 8.5% | 38,418.9 8.6% | 39,395.7 8.1% | 40,381.3 7.6% | 41,980.5 11.4% |
LTM NOPAT % growth | 4,591.1 N/A | 4,268.1 (7.0%) | 4,402.0 3.1% | 4,397.9 (0.1%) | 4,103.0 (6.7%) | 4,334.5 5.6% | 4,182.1 (3.5%) | 4,127.2 (1.3%) | 4,538.9 10.0% | 4,911.0 8.2% | 5,283.4 7.6% | 5,915.5 12.0% | 6,211.6 5.0% | 6,871.9 10.6% | 7,629.7 11.0% | 8,034.0 5.3% | 8,192.8 2.0% | 8,322.1 1.6% | 8,537.9 2.6% | 8,648.6 1.3% |
Discount rate | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Earnings Power Value (EPV) | 75,030.9 | 86,706.9 | 90,460.3 | 91,092.5 | 80,843.9 | 73,580.3 | 74,440.5 | 72,924.4 | 81,306.0 | 76,735.0 | 75,059.0 | 78,004.9 | 83,793.9 | 94,935.9 | 102,795.1 | 99,728.9 | 114,088.0 | 110,178.1 | 111,414.3 | 121,412.4 |
Enterprise Value (EV) | 111,658.2 | 127,666.1 | 191,871.7 | 147,491.5 | 139,895.7 | 139,173.3 | 150,690.4 | 151,344.8 | 137,024.1 | 123,729.3 | 133,615.3 | 131,580.9 | 143,249.4 | 153,525.7 | 143,664.9 | 141,320.9 | 124,980.4 | 120,331.4 | 117,583.1 | 134,102.6 |
| Market-Implied Value of Growth (MIVoG) | 36,627.3 | 40,959.2 | 101,411.4 | 56,399.0 | 59,051.7 | 65,593.1 | 76,249.9 | 78,420.3 | 55,718.1 | 46,994.3 | 58,556.3 | 53,575.9 | 59,455.5 | 58,589.8 | 40,869.8 | 41,592.0 | 10,892.4 | 10,153.3 | 6,168.8 | 12,690.2 |
| EPV as % of EV | 67.2% | 67.9% | 47.1% | 61.8% | 57.8% | 52.9% | 49.4% | 48.2% | 59.3% | 62.0% | 56.2% | 59.3% | 58.5% | 61.8% | 71.6% | 70.6% | 91.3% | 91.6% | 94.8% | 90.5% |
| MIVoG as % of EV | 32.8% | 32.1% | 52.9% | 38.2% | 42.2% | 47.1% | 50.6% | 51.8% | 40.7% | 38.0% | 43.8% | 40.7% | 41.5% | 38.2% | 28.4% | 29.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 9.5% |
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ZTO NOPAT
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
ZTO Earnings Power Value and Enterprise Value
Annual
LTM
Enterprise Value Breakdown
EPV and MIVoG as % of EV
ZTO vs Peer Set: Earnings Power Value comparison
General
Earnings power value
Financial metrics
Company name
EPV as % of EV
MIVoG as % of EV
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Net income margin
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.ZTO
90.5%
9.5%
3.1%
21.2%
22.8%
Median Peer Set
49.1%
50.9%
(1.3%)
(19.3%)
4.4%
United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS
72.0%
28.0%
0.1%
(13.4%)
6.3%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.EXPD
59.2%
40.8%
14.0%
13.9%
7.6%
FedEx CorporationFDX
55.6%
44.4%
(2.7%)
11.7%
4.9%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.CHRW
52.9%
47.1%
0.7%
42.0%
2.6%
GXO Logistics, Inc.GXO
50.0%
50.0%
19.7%
(42.0%)
1.1%
Hub Group, Inc.HUBG
48.2%
51.8%
(6.1%)
(35.1%)
2.6%
Landstar System, Inc.LSTR
39.3%
60.7%
(9.1%)
(25.1%)
4.1%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.JBHT
37.1%
62.9%
(5.8%)
(100.0%)
4.7%
XPO Logistics, Inc.XPO
32.2%
67.8%
4.2%
104.9%
4.8%
Pitney Bowes Inc.PBI
(127.8%)
227.8%
(38.0%)
(48.6%)
(10.0%)
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FAQ
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Earnings Power Value?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Earnings Power Value is approximately CN¥121.4B.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. EV (Enterprise Value)?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Enterprise Value (EV) estimates at CN¥134.1B.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. NOPAT?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) is approximately CN¥8,648.6M.