Value Sense
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO)
Last Price$19.7(1.7%)
Market Cap$16.3B
Intrinsic value score
7/10
Great
Intrinsic value
$18.8
DCF value - $10.3 Relative value - $27.3
Overvalued
4.5%
LTM P/E
13.8x
Peer set median 23.9x
Discount rate
7.4%
ZTO
is 4.5% overvalued
learn more -->
50+
undervalued stocks
Start beating the S&P 500

ZTO Intrinsic value

Key Highlights:
Relative Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 11, 2025 ZTO Relative Value is $27.5, which is undervalued by 39.9%, compared to current share price of $19.7.
DCF Value vs Current Share Price
As of Mar 11, 2025 ZTO DCF Value is $10.4, which is overvalued by 47.2%, compared to current share price of $19.7.
Methodology
Price per share, $
ZTO
Intrinsic value$18.8
Overvalued by4.5%
Current share price
19.7
Relative value
27.5
DCF value
10.4

Best stock ideas on the market right now

With Value Sense, you can find undervalued stocks list with intrinsic value. Discover more stock market investment ideas.

Undervalued stocks right now

Undervalued stocks right now

Discover the top 20 best undervalued stocks to buy for Mar 2025, listed on the Nasdaq or NYSE.

3M Return 32.1%
S&P Outperformance 19.1%
Next 3M Predicted Return 20.3%
Low P/E stocks

Low P/E stocks

Explore the best low P/E stocks to buy in 2025, featuring top companies trading at low P/E ratios.

3M Return 7.5%
S&P Outperformance -5.5%
Next 3M Predicted Return 10.2%
Undervalued dividend stocks

Undervalued dividend stocks

Discover the top 20 best undervalued high-yield dividend stock that offers both growth potential and attractive dividend returns for Mar 2025.

3M Return 28.4%
S&P Outperformance 15.4%
Next 3M Predicted Return 16.9%

ZTO Historical Intrinsic Value

Crunching data... Almost there!

ZTO vs Peer Set: Intrinsic Value Comparison

General

Intrinsic Value

Financials

Company name

Undervaluation/Overvaluation

Revenue growth

EPS growth

Net income margin

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. logo
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.ZTO
(4.5%)
3.1%
21.2%
22.8%
Median Peer Set
(1.3%)
(19.3%)
4.4%
XPO Logistics, Inc. logo
XPO Logistics, Inc.XPO
(50.3%)
4.2%
104.9%
4.8%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. logo
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.JBHT
(20.0%)
(5.8%)
(100.0%)
4.7%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. logo
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.EXPD
(15.5%)
14.0%
13.9%
7.6%
Landstar System, Inc. logo
Landstar System, Inc.LSTR
12.9%
(9.1%)
(25.1%)
4.1%
United Parcel Service, Inc. logo
United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS
19.2%
0.1%
(13.4%)
6.3%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. logo
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.CHRW
20.9%
0.7%
42.0%
2.6%
Pitney Bowes Inc. logo
Pitney Bowes Inc.PBI
53.1%
(38.0%)
(48.6%)
(10.0%)
GXO Logistics, Inc. logo
GXO Logistics, Inc.GXO
60.2%
19.7%
(42.0%)
1.1%
FedEx Corporation logo
FedEx CorporationFDX
72.7%
(2.7%)
11.7%
4.9%
Hub Group, Inc. logo
Hub Group, Inc.HUBG
75.8%
(6.1%)
(35.1%)
2.6%

Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for ZTO

DCF value calculator
Reverse DCF
Peter Lynch charts
Relative Value
Earnings growth model
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Margin of safety
Ben Graham Fair Value
Earnings Power Value
Discount rate

FAQ

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. intrinsic value?

As of Mar 11, 2025, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Intrinsic Value is $18.8. This suggests it may be overvalued by 4.5% compared to its current price of around $19.7.

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?

As of Mar 11, 2025, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its share price at $10.4. This suggests it may be overvalued by 47.2% to its current price of around $19.7, using a discount rate of 7.4% and terminal growth rate of 2.0%.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is currently considered overvalued based on its Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation and Relative Valuation, which estimates its share price to be $18.8, compared to a market price of around $19.7. This suggests a potential overvaluation of 4.5%.