Last Price$19.7(1.7%)
Market Cap$16.3B
LTM Free Cash Flow
CN¥480.2M
Reverse DCF (Implied FCF growth)
11.4%
3Y Free Cash Flow CAGR
N/A
LTM Revenue
CN¥5,980.5M
Reverse DCF (Implied Revenue growth)
13.7%
at normalized FCF margin 6.7%
3Y Revenue CAGR
12.5%
ZTO Reverse DCF Model
Implied FCF growth
Implied Revenue growth
Reverse DCF Assumptions and Outputs
as of Sep 30, 2024
480.2M
Long-Term growth rate
2.0%
7.1%
FX rate
0.1
Last share price
24.8
Implied FCF growth 1-10Y
11.4%
Implied Free Cash Flow growth vs Historical average vs Industry growth
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3M Return 32.1%
S&P Outperformance 19.1%
Next 3M Predicted Return 20.3%
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ZTO Free Cash Flow
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
ZTO Growth
Annual
Quarterly
LTM
Industry Median
5Y Historical Average
Benchmark
Crunching data... Almost there!
Crunching data... Almost there!
ZTO vs Peer Set: Reverse DCF comparison
Implied FCF growth
Implied Revenue growth
General
REVERSE DCF
Financial metrics
Company name
Implied Free Cash Flow growth
FCF margin
3Y avg FCF growth
3Y avg Revenue growth
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.ZTO
11.4%
8.0%
32.1%
30.0%
Median Peer Set
4.4%
24.5%
6.6%
XPO Logistics, Inc.XPO
64.3%
0.2%
53.5%
54.8%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.JBHT
10.9%
5.1%
22.5%
8.1%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.EXPD
7.0%
6.4%
18.5%
8.0%
Landstar System, Inc.LSTR
6.8%
5.3%
26.3%
6.7%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.CHRW
6.7%
2.5%
513.0%
5.0%
FedEx CorporationFDX
4.1%
3.0%
56.2%
6.4%
GXO Logistics, Inc.GXO
2.0%
1.6%
22.8%
12.0%
Hub Group, Inc.HUBG
1.3%
3.6%
161.5%
2.7%
United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS
(0.4%)
6.8%
12.2%
4.6%
Pitney Bowes Inc.PBI
(42.2%)
5.9%
(14.2%)
(6.2%)
Explore more intrinsic value tools hub for ZTO
DCF value calculator
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Discount rate
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Ben Graham Fair Value
FAQ
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Reverse DCF (discounted cash flow) valuation?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Reverse Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation estimates its Free Cash Flow growth at 11.4%.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. WACC?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is approximately 7.1%.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Free Cash Flow?
As of Sep 30, 2024, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Free Cash Flow is CN¥480.2M.